Northern Ireland vs Hungary Prediction

Correct scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.50

Bookmaker odds

Home3.20

Draw3.17

Away2.35

Odds moved since Sep 25

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What is the prediction for Northern Ireland vs Hungary?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Hungary are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 25, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-18Methodology

Match analysis

Hungary carry a 6.7 attack rating into Northern Ireland vs Hungary on 28 September, against a home defence rated 6.1, and they have scored in four of their last five. Superior's pick is Over 1.5 goals, which the model puts at 65 percent, at a price of 1.50.

Hungary have eight goals in their last five

Superior prices every scoreline on a Poisson grid built from each team's expected goals, and the stronger attack against the weaker defence supplies most of the total here. Hungary beat Kazakhstan 3-1 and Finland 2-1 in June and drew 2-2 in Portugal last October. Northern Ireland conceded three in France in June, and their own rate of 1.0 a game gives the grid a second route to two goals.

Hungary's 0-0 with Greece and 1-0 over Slovenia

Four of the two sides' last ten games finished with fewer than two goals: Hungary's 0-0 with Greece and 1-0 win over Slovenia in March, and Northern Ireland's 1-0 win over Guinea and 1-0 home defeat to Germany. Any repeat of those scorelines, 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1, loses the bet, and a single goal either way is the likeliest of them.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-opus-5-5

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