Northern Ireland vs Hungary Prediction - 28 September 2026
Form
- W 1-0
- L 1-3
- W 1-0
- D 1-1
- L 0-1
- L 0-1
- W 3-1
- W 2-1
- D 0-0
- W 1-0
Match analysis
Hungary carry a 6.7 attack rating into Northern Ireland vs Hungary on 28 September, against a home defence rated 6.1, and they have scored in four of their last five. Superior's pick is Over 1.5 goals, which the model puts at 65 percent, at a price of 1.50.
Hungary have eight goals in their last five
Superior prices every scoreline on a Poisson grid built from each team's expected goals, and the stronger attack against the weaker defence supplies most of the total here. Hungary beat Kazakhstan 3-1 and Finland 2-1 in June and drew 2-2 in Portugal last October. Northern Ireland conceded three in France in June, and their own rate of 1.0 a game gives the grid a second route to two goals.
Hungary's 0-0 with Greece and 1-0 over Slovenia
Four of the two sides' last ten games finished with fewer than two goals: Hungary's 0-0 with Greece and 1-0 win over Slovenia in March, and Northern Ireland's 1-0 win over Guinea and 1-0 home defeat to Germany. Any repeat of those scorelines, 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1, loses the bet, and a single goal either way is the likeliest of them.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.51More UEFA Nations League predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 36%Ball possession64%
- 0.55Expected goals (xG)0.98
- 1Big chances0
- 10Total shots13
- 1Goalkeeper saves3
- 3Corner kicks2
- 15Fouls15
- 326Passes583
- 4Yellow cards2
Shots
- 3Shots on target1
- 3Shots off target8
- 4Blocked shots4
- 5Shots inside box10
- 5Shots outside box3
Attack
- 79Attacks102
- 0.37Expected assists (xA)0.45
- 5Key passes8
- 7/15 (47%)Dribbles2/7 (29%)
- 4Offsides0
Passes
- 242/326 (74%)Accurate passes489/583 (84%)
- 25/63 (40%)Long balls27/73 (37%)
- 2/13 (15%)Crosses4/17 (24%)
- 46Final third entries58
Defending
- 7/9 (78%)Tackles won6/12 (50%)
- 6Interceptions8
- 24Clearances25
- 11/28 (39%)Aerial duels17/28 (61%)
Other
- 15Free kicks15
- 20Throw-ins19
- 8Goal kicks6
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Correct score: 1-1
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-113.1%Our score
- 0-111.3%
- 1-010.9%
- 0-09.6%
- 1-27.9%Alternative
Top five combined: 52.8%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Draw and under 2.5 goals22.6%
- Hungary win and over 2.5 goals20.2%
- Northern Ireland win and over 2.5 goals17.2%
- Northern Ireland win and both teams score13.7%
| Northern Ireland | Hungary | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 61.3% | 66.1% |
| Draw no bet | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| Win to nil | 20.3% | 23.4% |
| Either team wins | 72.6% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 67.1% | 70.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 30.7% | 34.7% |
| Clean sheet | 29.8% | 32.9% |