Head to Head Stats & Predictions

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UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland vs Hungary

Correct score
1 - 1
Alternative score
1 - 2
Featured pick
Goals: Over 1.5 @ 1.5
Match page

Match analysis

Hungary carry a 6.7 attack rating into Northern Ireland vs Hungary on 28 September, against a home defence rated 6.1, and they have scored in four of their last five. Superior's pick is Over 1.5 goals, which the model puts at 65 percent, at a price of 1.50.

Hungary have eight goals in their last five

Superior prices every scoreline on a Poisson grid built from each team's expected goals, and the stronger attack against the weaker defence supplies most of the total here. Hungary beat Kazakhstan 3-1 and Finland 2-1 in June and drew 2-2 in Portugal last October. Northern Ireland conceded three in France in June, and their own rate of 1.0 a game gives the grid a second route to two goals.

Hungary's 0-0 with Greece and 1-0 over Slovenia

Four of the two sides' last ten games finished with fewer than two goals: Hungary's 0-0 with Greece and 1-0 win over Slovenia in March, and Northern Ireland's 1-0 win over Guinea and 1-0 home defeat to Germany. Any repeat of those scorelines, 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1, loses the bet, and a single goal either way is the likeliest of them.

Bookmaker odds

Home3.20price falling, opened at 3.22
Draw3.17price rising, opened at 3.14
Away2.35

Odds moved since Sep 25

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.50price rising, opened at 1.47
Under 1.52.61price rising, opened at 2.55
Over 2.52.48price falling, opened at 3.75
Under 2.51.54price rising, opened at 1.24
Over 3.54.60price falling, opened at 4.96
Under 3.51.13
Both teams to score
Yes2.04price falling, opened at 2.05
No1.71price falling, opened at 1.73
Odd/Even
Odd1.87price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.83price falling, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home +0.251.80
Away -0.251.95

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Match History

Head to Head

These two have never met in our records.

Recent Form

Head to Head

Hungary vs Northern Ireland: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
September 25, 2026Hungary0 - 1Ukraine
June 9, 2026Hungary3 - 1Kazakhstan
June 5, 2026Hungary2 - 1Finland
March 31, 2026Hungary0 - 0Greece
March 28, 2026Hungary1 - 0Slovenia

Head to Head

Northern Ireland vs Hungary: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
September 25, 2026Georgia0 - 1Northern Ireland
June 8, 2026France3 - 1Northern Ireland
June 4, 2026Northern Ireland1 - 0Guinea
March 31, 2026Wales1 - 1Northern Ireland