Hungary vs Ukraine Prediction - 25 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
Odds 1.36Lost
- Correct score
- 1-1
- Alternative
- 2-1
- Over 1.5 goals
- 4/5Ukraine · last 5 games
Form
- W 3-1
- W 2-1
- D 0-0
- W 1-0
- D 2-2
- L 1-2
- W 2-0
- W 1-0
- W 2-1
- W 5-3
Match analysis
Ukraine average 2.2 goals a game on the road this campaign, the heavier half of a combined 3.8 with Hungary that sits behind Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick for their Nations League meeting on 25 September. The price is 1.36. The model has it at 71 percent.
Ukraine's scoring rate carries the total
Ukraine have won three of their last five, including a 5-3 and a 2-0, and their attack has found the net in four of those five games. Hungary have been productive at home too, with three wins from their last five and a 3-1 among them, and their 6.6 attack rating is the highest figure in this match, sitting opposite a Ukraine defence rated 5.9.
Hungary's own back line has held before
This bet loses only if the match produces fewer than two goals, and Hungary's own 0-0 draw earlier in this run shows exactly what that would look like. A repeat of that stalemate, with Ukraine unable to find a breakthrough on the road, is the one scenario that beats this pick.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.50More UEFA Nations League predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 57%Ball possession43%
- 1.83Expected goals (xG)1.34
- 1Big chances3
- 17Total shots10
- 2Goalkeeper saves4
- 4Corner kicks2
- 12Fouls19
- 528Passes404
- 4Yellow cards5
- 0Red cards1
Shots
- 4Shots on target3
- 7Shots off target5
- 6Blocked shots2
- 12Shots inside box6
- 5Shots outside box4
Attack
- 115Attacks66
- 1.27Expected assists (xA)0.74
- 13Key passes8
- 3/13 (23%)Dribbles0/1 (0%)
- 1Offsides3
Passes
- 450/528 (85%)Accurate passes339/404 (84%)
- 21/51 (41%)Long balls18/46 (39%)
- 8/21 (38%)Crosses4/10 (40%)
- 104Final third entries44
Defending
- 9/11 (82%)Tackles won19/21 (90%)
- 4Interceptions11
- 11Clearances38
- 12/28 (43%)Aerial duels16/28 (57%)
Other
- 19Free kicks12
- 24Throw-ins8
- 5Goal kicks6
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Correct score: 1-1
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-110.3%Our score
- 2-18.9%Alternative
- 1-08.6%
- 1-27.8%
- 0-17.4%
Top five combined: 43.0%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Hungary win and over 2.5 goals28.2%
- Hungary win and both teams score21.7%
- Ukraine win and over 2.5 goals21.6%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals15.6%
| Hungary | Ukraine | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 66.0% | 56.3% |
| Draw no bet | 56.2% | 43.8% |
| Win to nil | 22.0% | 16.5% |
| Either team wins | 77.7% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 78.1% | 72.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 46.4% | 38.8% |
| Clean sheet | 27.3% | 21.9% |