Basketball picks
Winner probability, our line and our total for every game.
LNBP
MexicoNBA Women
USAMPBL
Philippines1 Liga
PolandSuperettan
SwedenLNB
ParaguayHow our basketball predictions work
Where do these picks come from?
A statistical model rates every team from its results this season, then turns that gap into a winner probability, a predicted line and a predicted total for each game. Picks are never edited once they are out.
What does the confidence number mean?
It is the probability the model gives its own pick. Around 55 means a close game, above 70 means a clear favourite. Leagues where our data runs thinner get lower numbers on purpose, so a modest percentage is the model being honest about a hard game, not a broken page.
How are basketball picks settled?
On the final score including overtime. If you follow a pick at a bookmaker, take the market labelled including overtime. Some books settle their standard basketball markets on regulation time only, which can grade a draw where the overtime market has a winner.
Which leagues are covered?
Whatever is in season. NBA and WNBA when they run, plus national leagues across Europe, Asia, Africa and the Americas the rest of the year. Today's slate above is grouped by league, and tapping a league heading opens that league's full list of upcoming games.