Georgia vs Northern Ireland Prediction - 25 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
Odds 1.36Lost
- Correct score
- 1-1
- Alternative
- 2-1
- Over 1.5 goals
- 5/5Georgia · last 5 games
Form
- W 2-0
- D 1-1
- W 2-0
- D 2-2
- L 1-4
- L 1-3
- W 1-0
- D 1-1
- L 0-1
- W 2-0
Match analysis
Georgia shipped four goals in their most recent outing, and that defensive lapse is the clearest signal behind Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick against Northern Ireland in the Nations League on 25 September. The price is 1.36. The model has it at 71 percent.
A defence that has already been opened up once
Georgia's last five results include a 1-4 defeat, and while their other four games were tighter, that single result shows their back line is capable of leaking goals in bunches. Northern Ireland's attack has found the net in three of their last five, including a 2-0 win, and their away form has produced goals in four of five outings.
Georgia's tighter results are also on the record
This bet loses only if the match produces fewer than two goals, and three of Georgia's last five results were single-goal, low-event games, including a 2-0 win of their own. If Northern Ireland sit in and Georgia's attack cannot force an opening the way Georgia's own defence was forced open last time, the game can stay under this line, and that is the scenario the pick has to avoid.
Formations
Confirmed formations
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.50More UEFA Nations League predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 62%Ball possession38%
- 1.65Expected goals (xG)1.20
- 3Big chances2
- 11Total shots12
- 4Goalkeeper saves4
- 9Corner kicks1
- 13Fouls14
- 583Passes355
- 1Yellow cards3
Shots
- 5Shots on target5
- 3Shots off target3
- 3Blocked shots4
- 7Shots inside box3
- 4Shots outside box9
Attack
- 101Attacks75
- 0.74Expected assists (xA)0.83
- 9Key passes8
- 4/14 (29%)Dribbles4/11 (36%)
- 0Offsides3
Passes
- 514/583 (88%)Accurate passes292/355 (82%)
- 14/39 (36%)Long balls8/45 (18%)
- 3/18 (17%)Crosses2/9 (22%)
- 104Final third entries49
Defending
- 7/12 (58%)Tackles won12/18 (67%)
- 8Interceptions4
- 23Clearances22
- 7/20 (35%)Aerial duels13/20 (65%)
Other
- 12Free kicks11
- 22Throw-ins18
- 7Goal kicks5
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-19.8%Our score
- 2-19.9%Alternative
- 1-09.8%
- 2-08.9%
- 0-16.0%
Top five combined: 44.4%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Georgia win and over 2.5 goals37.2%
- Georgia win and both teams score26.6%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals15.0%
- Northern Ireland win and over 2.5 goals14.0%
| Georgia | Northern Ireland | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 76.7% | 44.1% |
| Draw no bet | 70.6% | 29.4% |
| Win to nil | 29.3% | 11.4% |
| Either team wins | 79.2% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 83.4% | 65.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55.0% | 29.3% |
| Clean sheet | 34.5% | 16.6% |