Latvia vs Cyprus Prediction - 28 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
Odds 1.41Lost
- Correct score
- 1-1
- Alternative
- 1-2
- Over 1.5 goals
- 4/5Cyprus · last 5 games
Form
- L 0-2
- W 1-0
- W 1-0
- D 0-0
- L 0-5
- L 1-2
- W 2-0
- D 1-1
- W 3-2
- L 0-1
Match analysis
Cyprus bring a 6.5 attack rating up against a Latvian defence rated 6.2, and that gap drives the case for Over 1.5 goals in Latvia vs Cyprus on 28 September. The model rates the pick at 72 percent against a price of 1.41, with Latvia's own attack rated 6.4 against a Cyprus defence at 6.3.
Cyprus have scored in four of their last five
Superior's ratings set one side's attack against the other's defence, and here both comparisons lean toward goals, if only slightly. Cyprus have eight goals in five games, including a 3-2 win over Moldova in March and a 4-2 home defeat to Estonia last November, so their matches have not been short of goals at either end. They also won 2-0 in Liechtenstein in June.
Latvia's last five produced three games under two goals
Latvia beat Gibraltar 1-0 home and away in March and drew 0-0 in North Macedonia, and they average 0.8 goals a game. If Cyprus's attack is held the way Belarus held it in a 1-0 win in Cyprus in March, the game ends 1-0 or 0-1 and Over 1.5 goals is lost.
Formations
Confirmed formations
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.51More UEFA Nations League predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 33%Ball possession67%
- 0.76Expected goals (xG)1.15
- 0Big chances2
- 8Total shots18
- 5Goalkeeper saves0
- 4Corner kicks11
- 16Fouls12
- 264Passes529
- 2Yellow cards4
Shots
- 0Shots on target5
- 5Shots off target8
- 3Blocked shots5
- 6Shots inside box11
- 2Shots outside box7
Attack
- 66Attacks115
- 0.61Expected assists (xA)1.61
- 6Key passes14
- 5/16 (31%)Dribbles8/13 (62%)
- 0Offsides1
Passes
- 203/264 (77%)Accurate passes470/529 (89%)
- 18/43 (42%)Long balls22/42 (52%)
- 4/13 (31%)Crosses8/36 (22%)
- 38Final third entries138
Defending
- 5/10 (50%)Tackles won8/14 (57%)
- 5Interceptions5
- 33Clearances11
- 10/31 (32%)Aerial duels21/31 (68%)
Other
- 12Free kicks15
- 13Throw-ins26
- 15Goal kicks5
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Correct score: 1-1
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-112.5%Our score
- 1-010.7%
- 0-110.6%
- 0-09.3%
- 2-18.0%
Top five combined: 51.1%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Draw and under 2.5 goals21.8%
- Latvia win and over 2.5 goals19.6%
- Cyprus win and over 2.5 goals19.1%
- Latvia win and both teams score15.4%
| Latvia | Cyprus | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 63.6% | 63.3% |
| Draw no bet | 50.2% | 49.8% |
| Win to nil | 21.3% | 21.7% |
| Either team wins | 73.2% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 69.0% | 69.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 33.8% | 33.8% |
| Clean sheet | 30.6% | 31.0% |