Sweden vs Poland Prediction - 28 September 2026
UEFA Nations LeagueWorldFull time
Sweden
3-1
Poland
Top pick 275%
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
Odds 1.31Won
- Correct score
- 1-1
- Alternative
- 2-1
- Over 1.5 goals
- 5/5Sweden · last 5 games
Form
Sweden
- L 0-3
- D 1-1
- L 1-5
- W 5-1
- D 2-2
Poland
- D 0-0
- D 2-2
- L 0-2
- W 2-0
- W 1-0
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.51More UEFA Nations League predictions
FT
Latvia
Cyprus
LostOver 1.5
FT
Georgia
Ukraine
LostOver 1.5
FT
Armenia
Montenegro
WonOver 1.5
Match stats
SwedenPoland
Match overview
- 53%Ball possession47%
- 2.15Expected goals (xG)0.91
- 4Big chances1
- 12Total shots18
- 6Goalkeeper saves3
- 4Corner kicks4
- 8Fouls8
- 513Passes454
- 1Yellow cards2
Shots
- 6Shots on target7
- 5Shots off target6
- 1Blocked shots5
- 9Shots inside box9
- 2Shots outside box9
Attack
- 96Attacks89
- 1.11Expected assists (xA)1.44
- 11Key passes14
- 7/21 (33%)Dribbles5/7 (71%)
- 0Offsides1
Passes
- 448/513 (87%)Accurate passes408/454 (90%)
- 19/42 (45%)Long balls14/23 (61%)
- 3/14 (21%)Crosses4/23 (17%)
- 112Final third entries128
Defending
- 3/8 (38%)Tackles won9/16 (56%)
- 3Interceptions11
- 33Clearances25
- 12/24 (50%)Aerial duels12/24 (50%)
Other
- 7Free kicks8
- 15Throw-ins12
- 9Goal kicks6
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-111.7%Our score
- 1-010.5%
- 2-19.3%Alternative
- 0-18.2%
- 2-07.9%
Top five combined: 47.6%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
HomeSwedenxG1.55
AwayPolandxG1.07
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.1%
11%
7.9%
4.2%
1.7%
0.8%
0.2%
1
8.2%
12%
9.3%
4.3%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
2
4.5%
7.0%
4.8%
2.5%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
3
2.0%
2.6%
1.9%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.7%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
Goals and BTTS chances
Both teams to score Yes 51.8%48.2% No
Over 1.5 74.2%25.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 50.1%49.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 27.7%72.3% Under 3.5
Combos
- Sweden win and over 2.5 goals27.5%
- Sweden win and both teams score20.6%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals18.8%
- Poland win and over 2.5 goals16.9%
| Sweden | Poland | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 70.5% | 54.1% |
| Draw no bet | 60.9% | 39.1% |
| Win to nil | 25.4% | 15.7% |
| Either team wins | 75.5% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 77.2% | 67.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 44.3% | 31.5% |
| Clean sheet | 32.5% | 22.8% |