Serbia vs Greece Prediction - September 24, 2026

Correct scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.29

Bookmaker odds

Home2.63

Draw3.26

Away2.74

Market move since Sep 21. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Serbia vs Greece?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Serbia are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 21, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-10Methodology

Match analysis

A combined scoring rate of 1.8 goals a game, Serbia's 1.2 plus Greece's 0.6, is less than half the four-goal mark this Under 3.5 goals pick needs to clear. Superior prices Serbia vs Greece at 1.29 for 24 September, which the model rates 73 percent, built on Greece having failed to score in three of their last five matches.

The combined scoring rate sits under half the line

Serbia's 1.2 goals a game and Greece's 0.6 add up to 1.8, and even allowing for some variance around that average, both sides would need a significant jump from their own recent output for this total to threaten 3.5. Greece in particular have scored more than once in only one of their last five matches.

Greece have failed to score in three of their last five

Three blanks in five, two of them 0-1 defeats and one a 0-0 draw, is the away side's actual recent record, and it lines up directly with their season scoring rate. Serbia's defence rating of 6.4 against an attack that has gone quiet that often is a big part of why the total is expected to stay low.

Serbia have conceded eleven goals in their last three away matches

The clearest risk to this line is not Greece's attack, it is Serbia's own defence on the road: three straight away matches produced a 1-5, two 0-3 defeats, eleven goals conceded between them. This fixture is at home for Serbia, but if that leak resurfaces and Greece's attack finds more than the one goal it has managed lately, the total clears 3.5 without either side needing a big scoring day.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Expected formations

Serbia: 3-4-2-1(predicted)Greece: 4-2-3-1(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Serbia vs Greece