Norway vs Denmark Prediction - 24 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
Odds 1.25Won
- Correct score
- 1-1
- Alternative
- 2-1
- Over 1.5 goals
- 5/5Norway · last 5 games
Form
- D 1-1
- W 2-1
- W 2-1
- L 1-4
- W 3-2
- W 2-1
- D 0-0
- W 3-1
- W 6-0
- W 3-0
Match analysis
Norway's attack rating of 6.9 is the highest of any side in today's batch, and it is paired here with a Denmark side that has scored fourteen goals in its own last five matches. Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick for Norway vs Denmark on 24 September comes in at 1.25, with a 77 percent read from the model.
Norway have the strongest attack rating on tonight's board
At 6.9, Norway's attack rating is the highest of any side previewed here, and their last five matches back it up with three wins and eleven goals scored, including a 3-2 in their most recent outing. Denmark's defence, rated 6.4, has not been built to shut games down completely either.
Denmark have scored fourteen goals in their last five
The visitors' own scoring run includes a 6-0 win and two other multi-goal victories, an average of 2.8 goals a game that is the highest on this list. Norway's defence rating of 6.4 matches Denmark's, which points to a fixture where both attacks are more likely to find the net than either defence is to hold out.
A single 0-0 is the exception in Denmark's recent scoring
The genuine way this misses is a repeat of that one scoreless match, played away from home earlier in this run. Norway have not gone blank in their own last five, so the more realistic risk sits with a defensively disciplined Denmark performance. Even then, one goalless result in ten combined recent matches is the exception, not the pattern.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.50More UEFA Nations League predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 49%Ball possession51%
- 1.47Expected goals (xG)1.08
- 1Big chances1
- 13Total shots13
- 5Goalkeeper saves4
- 4Corner kicks7
- 14Fouls10
- 508Passes523
- 1Yellow cards3
- 1Red cards0
Shots
- 7Shots on target7
- 3Shots off target4
- 3Blocked shots2
- 11Shots inside box6
- 2Shots outside box7
Attack
- 98Attacks91
- 1.17Expected assists (xA)0.66
- 11Key passes10
- 7/23 (30%)Dribbles7/11 (64%)
- 1Offsides2
Passes
- 448/508 (88%)Accurate passes464/523 (89%)
- 20/46 (43%)Long balls18/34 (53%)
- 1/7 (14%)Crosses4/19 (21%)
- 109Final third entries126
Defending
- 7/13 (54%)Tackles won18/24 (75%)
- 9Interceptions11
- 20Clearances22
Other
- 10Free kicks14
- 13Throw-ins19
- 5Goal kicks8
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-110.1%Our score
- 2-19.9%Alternative
- 1-09.3%
- 2-08.2%
- 1-26.2%
Top five combined: 43.7%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Norway win and over 2.5 goals35.3%
- Norway win and both teams score25.6%
- Denmark win and over 2.5 goals16.0%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals15.4%
| Norway | Denmark | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 74.5% | 47.2% |
| Draw no bet | 67.5% | 32.5% |
| Win to nil | 27.2% | 12.2% |
| Either team wins | 78.3% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 82.4% | 67.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 53.2% | 31.7% |
| Clean sheet | 32.6% | 17.6% |