Austria vs Israel Prediction - 24 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
Odds 1.19Won
- Correct score
- 2-0
- Alternative
- 2-1
- Over 1.5 goals
- 4/5Austria · last 5 games
Form
- L 0-3
- D 3-3
- L 0-2
- W 3-1
- W 1-0
- W 1-0
- D 2-2
- D 0-0
- L 0-3
- L 0-5
Match analysis
Austria vs Israel on 24 September is shaped by Israel's defense: eight goals conceded in their last two matches. Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick is priced at 1.19, with the model's own number on it at 81 percent, and Austria's 1.4 goals a game added to Israel's 0.6 clears the line before either team's finishing even needs to spike.
Israel have conceded eight goals in their last two matches
Israel's recent defensive numbers do most of the work here: two of their last five matches ended in 0-3 and 0-5 defeats, eight goals conceded between them. Austria's attack rating of 6.5 against a side leaking at that rate is the kind of mismatch that pushes a two-goal line well within range even before either team's own scoring rate is added in.
Austria have won their last two matches at home
The hosts arrive with genuine home form of their own: back-to-back wins, 3-1 and 1-0, in their last two matches at this venue. A defence rating of 6.3 gives Austria the platform to control the game, but their own attack has produced goals in both of those recent home outings, which is the more direct route to clearing 1.5.
Israel have also played to two scoreless stretches this cycle
The way this goes wrong is a repeat of Israel's other recent trend: a 0-0 draw sits alongside those two heavy defeats in their last five, proof they can also lock a game down defensively rather than just leaking goals. If Austria's finishing goes cold against a well-organized back line, a single-goal 1-0 or a stalemate is enough to beat this bet.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.50More UEFA Nations League predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 52%Ball possession48%
- 2.68Expected goals (xG)0.21
- 6Big chances1
- 19Total shots5
- 0Goalkeeper saves6
- 4Corner kicks2
- 15Fouls4
- 459Passes440
- 3Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards1
Shots
- 9Shots on target1
- 7Shots off target2
- 3Blocked shots2
- 15Shots inside box3
- 4Shots outside box2
Attack
- 108Attacks75
- 1.93Expected assists (xA)0.19
- 16Key passes3
- 4/9 (44%)Dribbles11/25 (44%)
- 2Offsides1
Passes
- 397/459 (86%)Accurate passes370/440 (84%)
- 20/30 (67%)Long balls23/52 (44%)
- 8/25 (32%)Crosses0/6 (0%)
- 159Final third entries53
Defending
- 18/24 (75%)Tackles won3/7 (43%)
- 11Interceptions4
- 12Clearances29
- 15/23 (65%)Aerial duels8/23 (35%)
Other
- 4Free kicks15
- 14Throw-ins15
- 3Goal kicks12
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Match Winner: Home
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 2-010.1%Our score
- 2-19.8%Alternative
- 1-08.8%
- 1-17.7%
- 3-07.7%
Top five combined: 44.1%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Austria win and over 2.5 goals47.9%
- Austria win and both teams score30.7%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals12.0%
- Israel win and over 2.5 goals9.8%
| Austria | Israel | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 84.0% | 33.3% |
| Draw no bet | 80.7% | 19.3% |
| Win to nil | 36.0% | 7.6% |
| Either team wins | 82.7% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 88.1% | 59.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65.5% | 24.3% |
| Clean sheet | 40.3% | 11.9% |