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League Cup

Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough

Projected score
1 - 1
Alternative score
2 - 1
Featured pick
Goals: Over 1.5 @ 1.21
Match page and graded archive

Match analysis

Middlesbrough have not been involved in a single game below two total goals in their last five, the run behind Superior's Over 1.5 pick for their League Cup trip to Crystal Palace on 8 September at 1.21, rated 61 percent by the model. Crystal Palace's own defence has shipped three or more goals in three of those same five matches.

Middlesbrough have not been involved in a low-scoring game all run

Every one of Middlesbrough's last five matches produced at least two total goals, including back-to-back 3-1 wins and a 2-1 victory most recently. Crystal Palace's own goals-against column reads 4, 2, 3 and 3 across four of their last five, evidence their defence has been open at exactly the rate this total needs.

Crystal Palace's one win still came with goals at both ends

Palace's only win in this run was a 3-1, still a four-goal game, and combined with Middlesbrough's 2.0 goals a game on the road, the two sides project to 2.8 goals between them. The model's own goals market backs that up, rating this Over close to eight in ten.

Neither side has a qualifying low-scoring game to point to

Over 1.5 loses only at zero or one total goal, a total neither side has produced once in this run: Palace's tightest result was a 0-2 defeat and Middlesbrough's was a 1-1 draw, both still clearing this line. The honest risk is that recent form is the only guide a cup tie between these two provides, and one uncharacteristically quiet night from either attack is what it would take to break the pattern.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.73
Draw3.98
Away4.46

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.16
Under 1.54.55
Over 2.51.62
Under 2.52.30
Over 3.52.42
Under 3.51.49
Both teams to score
Yes1.59
No2.24
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.83
Handicap
Home -0.751.86
Away +0.751.86

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

Match History

Head to Head

Recent Form

Head to Head

Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
August 28, 2026Crystal Palace1 - 4Manchester City
August 22, 2026Everton2 - 0Crystal Palace
August 15, 2026SC Freiburg3 - 0Crystal Palace
July 31, 2026Crystal Palace3 - 1Al Ula

Head to Head

Middlesbrough vs Crystal Palace: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
September 2, 2026Burnley1 - 1Middlesbrough
August 29, 2026Middlesbrough3 - 1West Brom
August 25, 2026Doncaster1 - 3Middlesbrough
August 22, 2026Blackburn2 - 1Middlesbrough
August 15, 2026Middlesbrough2 - 1Lincoln
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