Middlesbrough vs Millwall Prediction - 15 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
Odds 1.33Lost
- Correct score
- 1-0
- Alternative
- 1-1
Form
- W 4-3
- L 0-3
- W 1-0
- D 1-1
- W 3-1
- L 1-3
- L 0-1
- W 4-0
- L 0-3
- L 1-5
Head to head
- 3 Apr 2026 Middlesbrough 1 Millwall 2 Championship
- 16 Aug 2025 Millwall 0 Middlesbrough 3 Championship
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Middlesbrough have lost two and won one of their last three meetings with Millwall, and every one of those games has finished with three goals or fewer between them. Superior backs that pattern to hold again on 15 September, pricing Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, a 61 percent read on a fixture that has rarely produced an open game.
None of the last three meetings has reached four goals
The last three meetings between Middlesbrough and Millwall have produced totals of three, three and one goal, with Middlesbrough winning one 3-0 and losing the other two by a single goal apiece. That is a fixture that keeps finding the same range regardless of who wins it. Middlesbrough's own form has been streaky, three wins and two defeats in their last five, but at home recently their scoring has stayed controlled rather than expansive.
Millwall have been in a 4-0 win and a 1-5 defeat this run
Under 3.5 loses if this reaches four goals combined, and Millwall have shown that capacity at both ends recently: a 4-0 win in one match and a 1-5 defeat in another already this season, either type of scoreline enough to beat this line if it repeats. Middlesbrough have already reached four goals combined in two of their own last five matches too. Those extremes remain the outliers rather than the norm for both sides, though, which is why the tighter head-to-head history stays the more probable script here.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-012.3%Our score
- 1-113.1%Alternative
- 2-19.6%
- 0-18.8%
- 0-08.7%
Top five combined: 52.5%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Middlesbrough win and over 2.5 goals25.0%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals21.8%
- Middlesbrough win and both teams score18.9%
- Millwall win and over 2.5 goals13.5%
| Middlesbrough | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 73.2% | 54.1% |
| Draw no bet | 63.1% | 36.9% |
| Win to nil | 27.0% | 15.2% |
| Either team wins | 72.7% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 76.1% | 64.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 41.2% | 26.9% |
| Clean sheet | 35.7% | 23.9% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.61
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | +10 | 25 | |
| 2 | 11 | +8 | 23 | |
| 3 | 11 | +18 | 22 | |
| 4 | 11 | +9 | 20 | |
| 5 | 11 | +3 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | +2 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | +3 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | +11 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | +3 | 17 | |
| 10 | 11 | +1 | 15 | |
| 11 | 11 | +1 | 15 | |
| 12 | 11 | 0 | 15 | |
| 13 | 11 | 0 | 15 | |
| 14 | 11 | -1 | 14 | |
| 15 | 11 | -3 | 14 | |
| 16 | 11 | -5 | 14 | |
| 17 | 12 | -7 | 14 | |
| 18 | 11 | -10 | 12 | |
| 19 | 11 | +1 | 11 | |
| 20 | 11 | -9 | 11 | |
| 21 | 11 | -4 | 9 | |
| 22 | 11 | -5 | 8 | |
| 23 | 11 | -11 | 6 | |
| 24 | 11 | -15 | 4 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 25 | |
| 2 | Swansea | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 23 | |
| 3 | West Ham | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 22 | |
| 4 | Birmingham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 | |
| 5 | West Brom | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 | |
| 6 | Stoke City | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 19 | |
| 7 | Wolves | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 18 | |
| 8 | Southampton | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 17 | |
| 9 | QPR | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 17 | |
| 10 | Blackburn | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 | |
| 11 | Sheffield United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 15 | |
| 12 | Millwall | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 15 | |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 | |
| 14 | Wrexham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 | |
| 15 | Bristol City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 14 | |
| 16 | Charlton | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 14 | |
| 17 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 14 | |
| 18 | Lincoln | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 12 | |
| 19 | Cardiff | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 11 | |
| 20 | Watford | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 | |
| 21 | Norwich | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 9 | |
| 22 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 8 | |
| 23 | Derby | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 6 | |
| 24 | Preston | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 4 |