Middlesbrough vs Wolves Prediction - 10 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
83%Odds 1.20
Correct score1-1Alternative2-1
Form
- D 2-2
- D 2-2
- W 4-3
- L 0-3
- W 1-0
- W 1-0
- L 0-1
- W 1-0
- D 2-2
- L 2-4
Match analysis
Middlesbrough beat Norwich 4-3 on 12 September and drew 2-2 in each of their next two games, so Middlesbrough vs Wolves on 10 October starts from a side whose matches keep opening up. Superior's pick is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, which the model rates an 83 percent chance.
Middlesbrough have scored nine and conceded ten in five
Superior's expected goals for each team come from how often it scores and how often it concedes, and Middlesbrough feed both halves: 1.8 goals scored a game, and goals conceded in four of their last five. Wolves add 1.2 a game, with two goals at Birmingham and two more at West Ham. The correct score forecast is 1-1, with 2-1 next.
Three of Wolves' last four finished 1-0 or 0-1
Wolves beat West Brom 1-0 on 20 September, lost 0-1 at Everton four days earlier and won 1-0 at Sheffield United before that. Another game of that kind, 1-0 either way, loses this bet, and Middlesbrough's own 1-0 at QPR on 5 September shows they can play it too.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
Today's acca
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League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | 17 | |
| 2 | 8 | +11 | 15 | |
| 3 | 8 | +4 | 15 | |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | 14 | |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | 13 | |
| 6 | 8 | +1 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | -1 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | -3 | 12 | |
| 9 | 6 | +4 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | 8 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 | 8 | -1 | 11 | |
| 13 | 8 | +9 | 10 | |
| 14 | 8 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 | 7 | 0 | 9 | |
| 16 | 8 | 0 | 9 | |
| 17 | 8 | -2 | 9 | |
| 18 | 7 | -1 | 8 | |
| 19 | 8 | -3 | 8 | |
| 20 | 8 | -2 | 7 | |
| 21 | 7 | -5 | 7 | |
| 22 | 8 | -7 | 5 | |
| 23 | 8 | -7 | 4 | |
| 24 | 8 | -8 | 4 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 | |
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 15 | |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 | |
| 4 | West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | |
| 5 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | |
| 6 | Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | |
| 7 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | |
| 8 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 | |
| 9 | Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 | Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 | |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 10 | |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 | |
| 17 | Sheffield United | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | |
| 19 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | |
| 20 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | |
| 21 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 | |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 | |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 |