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Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Prediction - 13 October 2026

ChampionshipEnglandFull time
Stoke City
2-3
Middlesbrough

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

80%Odds 1.24Won

Correct score1-1Alternative1-2

5/5 Over 1.5 goals Stoke City · last 5 games

Form

Stoke City
  1. W 2-1
  2. W 2-1
  3. W 2-1
  4. D 1-1
  5. W 4-0
Middlesbrough
  1. W 1-0
  2. D 2-2
  3. D 2-2
  4. W 4-3
  5. L 0-3

Head to head

  1. 21 Jan 2026 Stoke City 1 Middlesbrough 2 Championship
  2. 30 Sept 2025 Middlesbrough 0 Stoke City 0 Championship
  3. 25 Feb 2025 Stoke City 1 Middlesbrough 3 Championship

Bookmaker odds

Home3.63price rising, opened at 3.56
Draw3.64price rising, opened at 3.60
Away1.92price falling, opened at 1.94
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.19
Under 1.53.76
Over 2.51.74
Under 2.52.02
Over 3.52.74
Under 3.51.35
Both teams to score
Yes1.64
No2.13
Odd/Even
Odd1.84
Even1.84
Handicap
Home +0.252.08
Away -0.251.62
Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Stoke have won four of their last five, and Superior still expects a 1-1 draw against Middlesbrough, with a 2-1 Boro win the next most likely score. Boro won 2-1 at Stoke in January, and the two sides average 2.0 and 1.8 goals a game, the highest pairing in Tuesday's Championship games.

Boro's last three games: 2-2, 2-2, 4-3

Middlesbrough drew 2-2 at Birmingham on 19 September and 2-2 at home to Millwall, and beat Norwich 4-3 before that. Their 3-0 defeat at Crystal Palace was the one game in five where they did not find the net, and they won 1-0 at QPR.

Stoke's wins have been narrow

Stoke beat Sheffield United 2-1, won 2-1 at Watford and beat Norwich 1-0, with the 4-0 over Charlton the only comfortable one, and they drew 1-1 at Cardiff. The two meetings last season split 0-0 at Middlesbrough and 2-1 to Boro at Stoke. Middlesbrough have scored in four of their last five, and that January defeat is the last time Stoke saw them.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Over 1.5Won1.24
  • Double Chance: Draw/AwayWon1.26
  • Home Goals: Over 0.5Won1.34
  • Away Goals: Under 2.5Lost1.25
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-113.3%Our score
  2. 0-19.8%
  3. 1-09.5%
  4. 1-28.3%Alternative
  5. 2-18.1%

Top five combined: 49.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeStoke CityxG1.12
AwayMiddlesbroughxG1.49
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.5%
9.5%
5.9%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
9.8%
13%
8.1%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
6.7%
8.3%
5.3%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
3.2%
3.6%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.1%
1.2%
0.8%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.3%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 52.6%47.4% No
Over 1.5 73.2%26.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 47.3%52.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 25.3%74.7% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Middlesbrough win and over 2.5 goals22.1%
  2. Draw and under 2.5 goals20.8%
  3. Stoke City win and over 2.5 goals18.9%
  4. Stoke City win and both teams score15.6%
Stoke CityMiddlesbrough
Outcome markets
Win or draw61.4%65.7%
Draw no bet47.1%52.9%
Win to nil18.8%21.2%
Either team wins72.9%
Team goals
To score71.3%73.7%
Over 1.5 goals34.9%38.4%
Clean sheet26.3%28.7%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.65
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More Championship predictions

Millwall
Swansea
Total goals: Over 1.577% 1.31
Bristol City
Blackburn
Total - Home: Under 2.577% 1.22
Burnley
Charlton
Total goals: Over 1.576% 1.29
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Prediction, preview and head to head: Stoke City vs Middlesbrough
League table

League table

ChampionshipEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1
Swansea
10721167+923
2
Middlesbrough
106312014+621
3
West Ham
105412912+1719
4
Birmingham
104511711+617
5
QPR
10451159+617
6
Wolves
105231815+317
7
West Brom
105231210+217
8
Southampton
106222110+1116
9
Stoke City
105141716+116
10
Blackburn
104331513+215
11
Millwall
104241616014
12
Bristol City
104241214-214
13
Charlton
103521013-314
14
Bolton
104151518-313
15
Sheffield United
103341414012
16
Portsmouth
93241213-111
17
Wrexham
102531115-411
18
Lincoln
10325717-1011
19
Cardiff
102441615+110
20
Norwich
103071720-39
21
Burnley
111551621-58
22
Watford
10226819-118
23
Derby
10136919-106
24
Preston
10118820-124
Relegation
Championship - League table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Swansea10721167923
2Middlesbrough106312014621
3West Ham1054129121719
4Birmingham104511711617
5QPR10451159617
6Wolves105231815317
7West Brom105231210217
8Southampton1062221101116
9Stoke City105141716116
10Blackburn104331513215
11Millwall104241616014
12Bristol City104241214-214
13Charlton103521013-314
14Bolton104151518-313
15Sheffield United103341414012
16Portsmouth93241213-111
17Wrexham102531115-411
18Lincoln10325717-1011
19Cardiff102441615110
20Norwich103071720-39
21Burnley111551621-58
22Watford10226819-118
23Derby10136919-106
24Preston10118820-124

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