Goals: Under 3.5
65%Odds 1.50
CONCACAF Nations League
Guyana8Dominica1
Correct score0-12-0
Bet of the Day
4 October 2026
Top picks
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Match analysis
Two goals in five games is all Dominica have managed, and that thin attack carries Superior's Bet of the Day, Under 3.5 goals in Guyana vs Dominica on 4 October. The price is 1.50 and the model gives it a 64.6 percent chance, since Guyana would need four goals almost on their own to break the line, a total they reached once in their last five.
Dominica's attack runs at 0.4 goals a game
Dominica beat Anguilla 1-0 on 21 September, drew 0-0 in the Cayman Islands, lost 2-0 at home to Puerto Rico and 5-1 at home to Guyana on 1 October, and the 5-0 defeat to the Dominican Republic in June 2025 completes the five. Superior's model builds each side's expected goals from measured scoring and conceding strength, and an attack running at 0.4 goals a game adds little to the total, so most of the score grid sits at three goals or fewer even with Guyana scoring freely.
Guyana's other four games stayed at three goals or fewer
Outside the 5-1, Guyana beat the Cayman Islands 2-0 at home, won 1-0 in Puerto Rico, beat Montserrat 3-0 and lost 1-0 in Nicaragua. Each of those finished inside the line, and three of them were won without conceding.
Guyana scored five against Dominica three days earlier
The 5-1 in Dominica on 1 October is the result this pick has to survive, and anything near a repeat, four goals or more in total, loses it. Dominica have conceded seven goals in their last two games and played four times between 21 September and 1 October, so a tired defence opening up again is the plain route to defeat.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
