2 games
4 October 2026- Castellón v AD Ceuta FC1-1FTMatch WinnerHome79%Lost
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki v Omiya Ardija1-1FTOver 1.5 goals78%Won
Viewing 4 October 2026
At total odds of 1.61, Superior's frozen accumulator for 4 October pairs a Castellón side on five straight wins against AD Ceuta at 1.29 with Over 1.5 goals in Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Omiya Ardija at 1.25. Both games have to land, and one miss loses the ticket.
Castellón beat Tenerife 5-0 on 19 September and Albacete 2-0 on 6 September at home, and won 2-0 at Leganés on 28 September. Superior's model builds expected goals from both sides' scoring and conceding, and Castellón's 2.6 goals a game against a Ceuta side that lost both of its recent away games puts the home win at 78.5 percent for a price of 1.29.
Miyazaki beat Consadole Sapporo 3-2 on 26 September, won 3-0 at Vanraure Hachinohe and beat Fujieda MYFC 3-2, and even their defeats, 2-0 at Sagan Tosu and 2-1 at home to Kataller Toyama, cleared the line. They score 2.0 goals a game and Omiya 1.4, which is why the model puts Over 1.5 at 78.1 percent for a price of 1.25. Omiya arrive off a 5-1 home win over Ventforet Kofu.
This is the most fragile game on the ticket. Omiya drew 0-0 at home with Oita Trinita on 12 September and 0-0 at Blaublitz Akita on 6 September, and a repeat, or a 1-0 either way, beats the Over 1.5 and the ticket with it. Castellón's game has its own soft spot, since both meetings with Ceuta in the data were draws, 3-3 and 1-1, and a draw there sinks the ticket all the same.