Tamworth vs Sutton United Prediction - 30 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
82%Odds 1.20
Picked at 1.20 · now 1.21
Correct score1-1Alternative2-1
What is the prediction for Tamworth vs Sutton United?
Our correct score is 1-1, then 2-1. Sutton United are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Every one of Tamworth's last five games had at least three goals, and every one of Sutton United's had at least two. That record sits behind Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick for Tamworth vs Sutton United on 30 September, available at 1.20, and the model gives two or more goals an 82% chance.
Tamworth average 1.2 goals a game and Sutton 1.4
Superior's expected goals start from what each side scores and what the other concedes, and both point up here. Tamworth have let in three or more in four of their last five, including 5-1 at Aldershot Town on 26 September, and Sutton drew 3-3 with Forest Green the same day. Tamworth have scored in every game of that run too.
Three of Sutton's last five stopped at exactly two goals
Sutton lost 2-0 at home to Scunthorpe on 12 September and drew 1-1 at FC Halifax Town and against Birmingham City U21, so each of those cleared the line by a single goal. Take one away and it's a 1-0 or 0-1, which beats this pick, and so does a 0-0.
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.66Get the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.
Join on Telegram
More National League predictions
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +12 | 23 | ||
| 2 | 9 | +11 | 20 | ||
| 3 | 9 | +6 | 18 | ||
| 4 | 9 | +7 | 17 | ||
| 5 | 9 | +4 | 16 | ||
| 6 | 9 | 0 | 16 | ||
| 7 | 9 | +4 | 15 | ||
| 8 | 9 | +3 | 15 | ||
| 9 | 9 | -1 | 15 | ||
| 10 | 9 | -3 | 15 | ||
| 11 | 9 | +2 | 14 | ||
| 12 | 9 | +1 | 14 | ||
| 13 | 9 | +3 | 13 | ||
| 14 | 9 | -1 | 13 | ||
| 15 | 9 | 0 | 11 | ||
| 16 | 9 | +2 | 10 | ||
| 17 | 9 | -1 | 9 | ||
| 18 | 9 | -2 | 9 | ||
| 19 | 9 | -4 | 9 | ||
| 20 | 9 | -4 | 8 | ||
| 21 | 9 | -7 | 8 | ||
| 22 | 9 | -4 | 7 | ||
| 23 | 9 | -14 | 4 | ||
| 24 | 9 | -14 | 4 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 23 | |
| 2 | Southend | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 | |
| 3 | Kidderminster Harriers | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 18 | |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 | |
| 5 | Harrogate Town | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 16 | |
| 6 | Sutton United | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 16 | |
| 7 | Yeovil Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 15 | |
| 8 | Aldershot Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 15 | |
| 9 | AFC Hornchurch | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 15 | |
| 10 | Altrincham | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 | |
| 11 | Worthing | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 14 | |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 | |
| 13 | FC Halifax Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 | |
| 14 | Forest Green | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 | |
| 15 | Boston United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 | |
| 16 | Carlisle | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 10 | |
| 17 | Barrow | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 9 | |
| 18 | Woking | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 | |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 | |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 | |
| 21 | Tamworth | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 8 | |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 7 | |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 4 | |
| 24 | Gateshead | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 4 |