Moldova vs Faroe Islands Prediction - 29 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
Odds 1.56Won
- Correct score
- 1-1
- Alternative
- 0-3
- Over 1.5 goals
- 5/5Moldova · last 5 games
Form
- L 0-2
- D 1-1
- D 2-2
- L 2-3
- L 0-2
- D 1-1
- W 2-1
- W 1-0
- W 2-1
- W 4-0
Match analysis
Moldova arrive on shorter rest than the Faroe Islands, and all five of their recent games reached two goals, so Superior takes Over 1.5 goals in Moldova vs Faroe Islands on 29 September. The price is 1.56, and the model rates it 63 percent.
Moldova have conceded in each of their last five games
Superior works from an expected scoring rate for each side, and Moldova's defence leaks at a steady rate: 1-1 in Armenia, 2-2 with Bulgaria, a 3-2 defeat in Cyprus, a 2-0 home loss to Lithuania and 1-1 in Estonia. Every one of those cleared the line. The Faroe Islands average 2.0 goals a game on a five-match winning run with an attack rating of 6.4, which gives the visitors a real share of the goals the model expects. The correct score is 1-1, with a 0-3 Faroe Islands win the alternative.
The Faroe Islands won 1-0 twice in their last five
Over 1.5 loses on 0-0 or a single goal either way, and the Faroe Islands know that scoreline well: 1-0 at home to Kazakhstan in November and 1-0 in Gibraltar in September 2025. A visiting side that can close a game at one goal is the main threat here, and a 0-1 would beat the pick despite Moldova's leaky record.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.51More UEFA Nations League predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 70%Ball possession30%
- 1.91Expected goals (xG)1.01
- 0Big chances2
- 22Total shots6
- 0Goalkeeper saves3
- 7Corner kicks2
- 12Fouls11
- 601Passes265
- 0Yellow cards1
Shots
- 4Shots on target1
- 10Shots off target2
- 8Blocked shots3
- 13Shots inside box5
- 8Shots outside box1
Attack
- 143Attacks73
- 1.26Expected assists (xA)0.36
- 11Key passes3
- 10/15 (67%)Dribbles3/11 (27%)
- 1Offsides1
Passes
- 534/601 (89%)Accurate passes188/265 (71%)
- 17/41 (41%)Long balls20/56 (36%)
- 9/37 (24%)Crosses1/12 (8%)
- 177Final third entries60
Defending
- 11/18 (61%)Tackles won5/8 (63%)
- 5Interceptions8
- 29Clearances52
- 29/46 (63%)Aerial duels18/46 (39%)
Other
- 10Free kicks11
- 23Throw-ins23
- 3Goal kicks9
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Correct score: 1-1
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-110.4%Our score
- 0-111.9%
- 0-29.2%
- 1-28.4%
- 0-08.1%
Top five combined: 48.0%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Faroe Islands win and over 2.5 goals32.0%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals18.5%
- Moldova win and over 2.5 goals12.5%
- Moldova win and both teams score10.3%
| Moldova | Faroe Islands | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 46.9% | 76.0% |
| Draw no bet | 31.2% | 68.8% |
| Win to nil | 13.8% | 33.6% |
| Either team wins | 77.1% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 58.3% | 78.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 24.6% | 47.8% |
| Clean sheet | 21.9% | 41.7% |