Club Queretaro vs Leon Prediction - 21 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
Odds 1.44Won
- Correct score
- 1-1
- Alternative
- 1-0
- Under 3.5 goals
- 4/5Club Queretaro · last 5 games
Match highlights
PremiumForm
- W 1-0
- W 3-1
- L 1-2
- D 0-0
- D 1-1
- W 2-0
- L 1-3
- W 1-0
- L 0-2
- D 1-1
Head to head
- 7 Feb 2026 Club Queretaro 2 Leon 0 Liga MX
- 30 Aug 2025 Leon 3 Club Queretaro 0 Liga MX
Match analysis
Club Queretaro and Leon are both averaging exactly one goal a game this season, a rare symmetry between two sides whose recent scorelines suggest something far less even. Superior's model turns that into a projected 1-1 when they meet on 21 September, with 1-0 to Queretaro as the alternate scoreline.
Both teams are averaging exactly one goal a game
Queretaro's defence and attack both rate close to 5.8 out of 10, a balanced but unspectacular profile that matches Leon's own modest output this season. Neither side has the kind of standout attacking or defensive number that would tip a projection like this one way or the other.
Queretaro have alternated a win with a loss in four of five
Their form reads win, win, loss, draw, loss, including a 1-0 win at Tijuana and a 3-1 win at Atlas either side of a 1-2 home defeat to Toluca. Leon's own log, win, loss, win, loss, draw, is just as choppy, which is exactly the kind of inconsistency that produces a tight scoreline projection rather than a clear favourite.
Queretaro's 3-1 away win at Atlas breaks this read completely
That result alone produced four goals, and Leon shipped three at Pumas in their own worst recent result. Either side finding that kind of game state again would turn a projected 1-1 into something far more open.
Formations
Confirmed formations
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.50From our blog
More Liga MX predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 39%Ball possession61%
- 1.82Expected goals (xG)1.72
- 1Big chances2
- 19Total shots14
- 6Goalkeeper saves3
- 8Corner kicks1
- 15Fouls11
- 354Passes561
- 4Yellow cards3
Shots
- 4Shots on target7
- 11Shots off target5
- 4Blocked shots2
- 7Shots inside box10
- 12Shots outside box4
Attack
- 92Attacks117
- 1.42Expected assists (xA)1.26
- 13Key passes12
- 6/13 (46%)Dribbles11/22 (50%)
- 3Offsides0
Passes
- 269/354 (76%)Accurate passes481/561 (86%)
- 32/70 (46%)Long balls16/31 (52%)
- 2/21 (10%)Crosses4/19 (21%)
- 89Final third entries98
Defending
- 13/16 (81%)Tackles won8/14 (57%)
- 8Interceptions8
- 24Clearances25
- 11/24 (46%)Aerial duels13/24 (54%)
Other
- 11Free kicks15
- 13Throw-ins20
- 7Goal kicks12
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Goals: Under 2.5
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-113.4%Our score
- 1-011.1%Alternative
- 0-110.3%
- 0-09.5%
- 2-18.4%
Top five combined: 52.7%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Draw and under 2.5 goals23.0%
- Club Queretaro win and over 2.5 goals19.8%
- Leon win and over 2.5 goals17.4%
- Club Queretaro win and both teams score15.9%
| Club Queretaro | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 66.7% | 62.2% |
| Draw no bet | 53.1% | 46.9% |
| Win to nil | 21.9% | 19.0% |
| Either team wins | 71.1% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 71.4% | 68.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 35.4% | 32.0% |
| Clean sheet | 31.4% | 28.6% |
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | +15 | 29 | ||
| 2 | 15 | +11 | 29 | ||
| 3 | 15 | 0 | 27 | ||
| 4 | 14 | +9 | 26 | ||
| 5 | 15 | +10 | 24 | ||
| 6 | 15 | +4 | 22 | ||
| 7 | 14 | +3 | 22 | ||
| 8 | 14 | +5 | 21 | ||
| 9 | 15 | -2 | 20 | ||
| 10 | 14 | -3 | 20 | ||
| 11 | 15 | +6 | 19 | ||
| 12 | 14 | 0 | 19 | ||
| 13 | 15 | -4 | 19 | ||
| 14 | 15 | -6 | 16 | ||
| 15 | 15 | -7 | 15 | ||
| 16 | 15 | -8 | 14 | ||
| 17 | 14 | -11 | 10 | ||
| 18 | 15 | -22 | 8 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 29 | WDW |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 29 | DWL |
| 3 | Atlas | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 | LWW |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 26 | LWW |
| 5 | Toluca | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 24 | WLW |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 | DWW |
| 7 | Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 | WLL |
| 8 | Monterrey | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 21 | WLW |
| 9 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 | WWL |
| 10 | Club Queretaro | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 20 | WWL |
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 19 | LLW |
| 12 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 19 | LLL |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 19 | DDL |
| 14 | Puebla | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 | DLW |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 | LDL |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 14 | WDL |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 | LWW |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 8 | LLL |