CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana Prediction - 21 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
Odds 1.42Lost
- Correct score
- 1-0
- Alternative
- 1-1
- Under 3.5 goals
- 4/5CF Pachuca · last 5 games
Match highlights
PremiumForm
- W 3-0
- W 2-0
- D 1-1
- D 1-1
- L 2-3
- L 0-1
- W 2-0
- L 2-5
- W 2-1
- L 1-3
Head to head
- 23 Apr 2026 Club Tijuana 3 Pachuca 1 Liga MX
- 17 Aug 2025 Pachuca 0 Club Tijuana 2 Liga MX
Match analysis
Pachuca's defence rates 6.4 out of 10, their strongest measured trait, and Tijuana have averaged just 1.4 goals a game on the road this season. Those two numbers sit behind Superior's under 3.5 goals price of 1.42 for CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana on 21 September, backed at 68 percent confidence.
Pachuca's defence is rated above their attack, 6.4 to 6.2
That defensive edge shows up in two recent 1-1 draws against Guadalajara Chivas and Atletico San Luis, both low event games settled by a single goal apiece. Combined with Tijuana's modest 1.4 goals a game on the road, the raw scoring averages sum to 3.2, just under this line.
Three of the last three meetings have gone the same way for Pachuca
Pachuca have lost two and won one of the last three head to head meetings, a 1-3, a 0-2 and a 4-1, a spread that shows this fixture rarely settles into a single predictable pattern, which is part of why the model is pricing this as its least confident Liga MX pick tonight.
Pachuca's last home game alone produced five goals
That 2-3 defeat to Puebla is the kind of result that beats this price outright, and Tijuana have their own recent blowout, a 2-5 defeat at Guadalajara. If either side's leakier form resurfaces, four goals or more is well within reach.
Formations
Confirmed formations
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.50More Liga MX predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 58%Ball possession42%
- 2.69Expected goals (xG)1.76
- 4Big chances3
- 29Total shots8
- 1Goalkeeper saves9
- 10Corner kicks0
- 16Fouls6
- 376Passes298
- 1Yellow cards3
Shots
- 11Shots on target5
- 12Shots off target2
- 6Blocked shots1
- 22Shots inside box6
- 7Shots outside box2
Attack
- 117Attacks51
- 1.95Expected assists (xA)1.08
- 23Key passes6
- 6/14 (43%)Dribbles4/11 (36%)
- 2Offsides2
Passes
- 323/376 (86%)Accurate passes238/298 (80%)
- 39/58 (67%)Long balls40/76 (53%)
- 11/45 (24%)Crosses2/8 (25%)
- 112Final third entries33
Defending
- 6/9 (67%)Tackles won9/12 (75%)
- 3Interceptions7
- 10Clearances52
- 20/31 (65%)Aerial duels11/31 (35%)
Other
- 6Free kicks15
- 23Throw-ins10
- 6Goal kicks17
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Correct score: 1-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-012.1%Our score
- 1-112.4%Alternative
- 2-19.9%
- 2-09.5%
- 0-08.0%
Top five combined: 51.9%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- CF Pachuca win and over 2.5 goals29.8%
- CF Pachuca win and both teams score21.9%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals20.4%
- Club Tijuana win and over 2.5 goals12.0%
| CF Pachuca | Club Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 77.5% | 48.5% |
| Draw no bet | 69.6% | 30.4% |
| Win to nil | 29.5% | 12.0% |
| Either team wins | 73.9% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 80.0% | 62.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 47.2% | 25.3% |
| Clean sheet | 37.5% | 20.0% |
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | +15 | 29 | ||
| 2 | 15 | +11 | 29 | ||
| 3 | 15 | 0 | 27 | ||
| 4 | 14 | +9 | 26 | ||
| 5 | 15 | +10 | 24 | ||
| 6 | 15 | +4 | 22 | ||
| 7 | 14 | +3 | 22 | ||
| 8 | 14 | +5 | 21 | ||
| 9 | 15 | -2 | 20 | ||
| 10 | 14 | -3 | 20 | ||
| 11 | 15 | +6 | 19 | ||
| 12 | 14 | 0 | 19 | ||
| 13 | 15 | -4 | 19 | ||
| 14 | 15 | -6 | 16 | ||
| 15 | 15 | -7 | 15 | ||
| 16 | 15 | -8 | 14 | ||
| 17 | 14 | -11 | 10 | ||
| 18 | 15 | -22 | 8 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 29 | WDW |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 29 | DWL |
| 3 | Atlas | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 | LWW |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 26 | LWW |
| 5 | Toluca | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 24 | WLW |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 | DWW |
| 7 | Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 | WLL |
| 8 | Monterrey | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 21 | WLW |
| 9 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 | WWL |
| 10 | Club Queretaro | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 20 | WWL |
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 19 | LLW |
| 12 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 19 | LLL |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 19 | DDL |
| 14 | Puebla | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 | DLW |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 | LDL |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 14 | WDL |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 | LWW |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 8 | LLL |