Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth Prediction

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

Odds 1.25Won

79%

Correct score: 1-1
Alternative: 1-2
Over 1.5 goals: 5/5Bournemouth · last 5 games

Form

Real Sociedad

L 0-3
W 3-2
D 0-0
W 2-1
L 1-4

Bournemouth

D 2-2
W 4-0
D 2-2
D 1-1
L 1-2

Head to head

9 Aug 2025 Bournemouth 1 Real Sociedad 1 Friendlies Clubs

Bookmaker odds

3.50

3.60

2.03

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.17

Under 1.54.60

Over 2.51.63

Under 2.52.27

Over 3.52.47

Under 3.51.49

Both teams to score

Yes1.52

No2.40

Odd/Even

Odd1.90

Even1.80

Handicap

Home +0.252.03

Away -0.251.75

Methodology

Match analysis

Real Sociedad have been on the wrong end of a 0-3 and a 1-4 scoreline in their last five home-relevant matches, a defense leaky enough that Superior backs Over 1.5 goals against Bournemouth in the Europa League on 17 September, priced at 1.25 and rated 67 percent. Bournemouth have scored in four of their own last five, adding a travelling threat to an already exposed home defense.

Sociedad have conceded three or more twice in this run

Real Sociedad's last five includes a 0-3 defeat and a 1-4 defeat, either one enough on its own to clear 1.5 goals without their own attack doing anything. Bournemouth have found the net in four of their own last five, including a 4-0 win, so the visitors bring a scoring threat of their own into a match where the home defense has already shown it can be opened up.

Both sides have also played out a 0-0 and a goalless half elsewhere

Sociedad's one clean sheet this run, a 0-0 draw, shows their defense can hold when it needs to, and Bournemouth have drawn twice by an identical scoreline in the same stretch. If either side's contained version shows up instead of the leakier one, the total stays below 1.5 and the pick loses.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

Goals: Over 1.5Won1.25

Compare bookmakers

After full time

Top five correct scores

1-111.3%Our score
1-28.6%Alternative
2-18.5%
0-17.8%
1-07.4%

Top five combined: 43.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeReal SociedadxG1.40

AwayBournemouthxG1.54

5.5%

7.4%

5.2%

2.7%

1.0%

0.3%

<0.1%

7.8%

11%

8.5%

3.9%

1.3%

0.4%

0.1%

5.8%

8.6%

6.4%

2.9%

1.0%

0.3%

<0.1%

3.2%

4.2%

3.1%

1.5%

0.5%

0.1%

<0.1%

1.2%

1.5%

1.1%

0.5%

0.2%

<0.1%

0.4%

0.5%

0.3%

0.1%

<0.1%

0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 59.2%40.8% No

Over 1.5 79.3%20.7% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 56.9%43.1% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 33.9%66.1% Under 3.5

Combos

Bournemouth win and over 2.5 goals25.3%
Real Sociedad win and over 2.5 goals23.5%
Real Sociedad win and both teams score19.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.8%

Outcome markets
	Real Sociedad	Bournemouth
Win or draw	61.1%	63.9%
Draw no bet	48.2%	51.8%
Win to nil	16.8%	18.5%
Either team wins	75.0%
Team goals
To score	76.0%	77.7%
Over 1.5 goals	42.3%	44.3%
Clean sheet	22.3%	24.0%