Celtic vs Ferencvarosi TC Prediction

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

Odds 1.67Lost

72%

Correct score: 1-1
Alternative: 1-0
Under 3.5 goals: 5/5Celtic · last 5 games

Form

Celtic

L 0-3
W 1-0
W 2-1
W 3-0
W 2-1

Ferencvarosi TC

W 7-0
D 2-2
W 3-0
W 2-1
W 4-0

Bookmaker odds

1.70

3.92

4.76

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.15

Under 1.54.30

Over 2.51.64

Under 2.52.26

Over 3.52.54

Under 3.51.51

Both teams to score

Yes1.61

No2.20

Odd/Even

Odd1.88

Even1.82

Handicap

Home -0.751.83

Away +0.751.90

Methodology

Match analysis

Celtic have conceded more than once in only one of their last five matches, and that defensive control is the platform behind Superior's Under 3.5 goals pick for their home game with Ferencvaros in the Europa League on 17 September, priced at 1.67 and rated 71 percent.

Celtic have kept things tight in four of their last five

Celtic's only leak in this run was a 0-3 defeat; the other four games produced one goal against or fewer for their opponents. That kind of control at home, set against a 1.67 price needing roughly 60 percent to break even against Superior's 71 percent read, is where this pick's value sits rather than in Ferencvaros' away form specifically.

Ferencvaros have scored seven and four in their last five

Ferencvaros put seven past an opponent and four past another inside this same run, proof their attack can produce a blowout on the right night. Celtic have not faced an attack scoring at that rate yet this stretch, and if Ferencvaros' front line travels the way it has at home, the total clears 3.5 before Celtic's own defense gets a real test.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

Goals: Under 3.5Lost1.67
Goals: Under 2.5Lost2.55

Compare bookmakers

After full time

Top five correct scores

1-111.8%Our score
1-010.1%Alternative
2-19.1%
0-18.0%
2-07.6%

Top five combined: 46.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCelticxG1.60

AwayFerencvarosi TCxG1.02

6.8%

10%

7.6%

3.9%

1.6%

0.5%

0.2%

8.0%

12%

9.1%

4.3%

1.6%

0.5%

0.2%

5.2%

7.4%

5.2%

2.5%

0.9%

0.3%

<0.1%

2.2%

2.9%

2.2%

1.0%

0.4%

<0.1%

0.7%

0.8%

0.6%

0.3%

<0.1%

0.3%

0.1%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 52.8%47.2% No

Over 1.5 75.1%24.9% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 50.4%49.6% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 27.9%72.1% Under 3.5

Combos

Celtic win and over 2.5 goals26.0%
Celtic win and both teams score19.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals18.6%
Ferencvarosi TC win and over 2.5 goals18.0%

Outcome markets
	Celtic	Ferencvarosi TC
Win or draw	68.7%	56.3%
Draw no bet	58.3%	41.7%
Win to nil	23.8%	16.5%
Either team wins	75.0%
Team goals
To score	76.7%	69.4%
Over 1.5 goals	43.3%	33.9%
Clean sheet	30.6%	23.3%