OFI Crete vs 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

Odds 1.59Won

73%

Correct score: 1-1
Alternative: 0-1
Under 3.5 goals: 5/5OFI Crete · last 5 games

Form

OFI Crete

W 1-0
W 3-0
W 2-0
D 0-0
L 1-2

1899 Hoffenheim

W 2-1
L 2-3
L 2-3
W 4-0
D 2-2

Bookmaker odds

8.40

5.75

1.31

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.10

Under 1.56.95

Over 2.51.35

Under 2.53.20

Over 3.51.92

Under 3.51.88

Both teams to score

Yes1.64

No2.26

Odd/Even

Odd1.93

Even1.82

Handicap

Home +1.751.84

Away -1.751.96

Methodology

Match analysis

Three clean sheet wins in five games have OFI Crete rated as a defense in control, and Superior is backing that into Under 3.5 goals at 1.59 for the visit of Hoffenheim on 17 September, a 71 percent pick. The price alone needs only about 63 percent to break even, a real gap under Superior's own number.

OFI have shut teams out three times in five games

OFI Crete have posted three clean sheet wins in their last five, 1-0, 3-0 and 2-0, with the only leak coming in a 1-2 defeat. That is a defense that has controlled most of its recent matches rather than trading chances, and it is the base the Under case rests on. The 1.59 price needs roughly 63 percent to break even, which sits well below Superior's 71 percent read.

Hoffenheim have conceded three goals twice this run

Hoffenheim have been on the other side of two 2-3 defeats in this same stretch, showing their own defense can be opened up, and they still hit four goals in a separate win. If Hoffenheim's attack finds the kind of game that produced that 4-0 while OFI's defense has an off night, the total clears 3.5 and the pick loses.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

Goals: Under 3.5Won1.59
Goals: Under 2.5Won2.44
Correct score: 0-1Lost7.50

Compare bookmakers

After full time

Top five correct scores

1-111.7%Our score
0-110.3%Alternative
1-08.9%
0-07.8%
1-27.7%

Top five combined: 46.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeOFI CretexG0.80

Away1899 HoffenheimxG1.62

7.8%

8.9%

5.7%

2.7%

1.2%

0.6%

<0.1%

10%

12%

7.3%

3.1%

1.3%

0.5%

<0.1%

7.4%

7.7%

4.3%

2.1%

0.7%

0.3%

<0.1%

3.8%

3.6%

2.0%

0.8%

0.3%

<0.1%

1.5%

1.4%

0.6%

0.3%

<0.1%

0.5%

0.4%

0.2%

<0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 49.3%50.7% No

Over 1.5 73.0%27.0% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 48.2%51.8% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 26.6%73.4% Under 3.5

Combos

1899 Hoffenheim win and over 2.5 goals22.5%
OFI Crete win and over 2.5 goals20.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.5%
OFI Crete win and both teams score15.9%

Outcome markets
	OFI Crete	1899 Hoffenheim
Win or draw	59.8%	64.9%
Draw no bet	46.6%	53.4%
Win to nil	19.2%	23.8%
Either team wins	75.3%
Team goals
To score	68.5%	73.0%
Over 1.5 goals	34.7%	38.6%
Clean sheet	27.0%	31.5%