Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

Odds 1.55Won

74%

Correct score: 1-1
Alternative: 1-0

Form

Levski Sofia

D 0-0
L 2-4
W 1-0
W 2-1
W 3-1

Red Bull Salzburg

D 1-1
W 3-0
W 5-1
W 4-1
W 3-0

Bookmaker odds

3.72

3.58

1.98

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.19

Under 1.54.72

Over 2.51.61

Under 2.52.31

Over 3.52.38

Under 3.51.58

Both teams to score

Yes1.54

No2.48

Odd/Even

Odd1.93

Even1.82

Handicap

Home +0.252.13

Away -0.251.72

Methodology

Match analysis

A 1.55 price on Under 3.5 goals needs only about 65 percent to break even, and Superior's read on Levski Sofia's home game with Red Bull Salzburg on 17 September sits at 73 percent, well clear of that number. Levski have kept three of their last five matches to three total goals or fewer, the platform behind that gap.

Levski have not been the leaky side lately

Three of Levski's last five games finished 0-0, 1-0 or 2-1, and the one blowout came away from home in a 2-4 loss rather than on their own ground. The 1.55 price on Under 3.5 needs roughly 65 percent to break even, which sits under Superior's 73 percent read on this pick, a real enough gap for a European tie.

Salzburg have scored five, four and three at their own ground

Salzburg's away form has been quieter than their home log, though they still won 3-0 on the road in this stretch, and their front line has produced 5-1 and 4-1 scorelines at their own stadium this season. Levski have also shown they can be cracked open, conceding four in that 2-4 loss. If Salzburg's attack travels the way it plays at home, this clears 3.5 and beats the pick.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

Goals: Under 3.5Won1.55
Goals: Under 2.5Won2.34

Compare bookmakers

After full time

Top five correct scores

1-112.4%Our score
1-010.5%Alternative
2-19.7%
0-18.1%
2-07.6%

Top five combined: 48.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLevski SofiaxG1.28

AwayRed Bull SalzburgxG1.22

7.3%

10%

7.6%

3.6%

1.4%

0.5%

0.1%

8.1%

12%

9.7%

4.1%

1.5%

0.5%

0.1%

5.0%

7.3%

5.1%

2.5%

0.8%

0.3%

<0.1%

2.1%

2.7%

1.9%

1.0%

0.4%

<0.1%

0.6%

0.8%

0.5%

0.3%

<0.1%

0.2%

0.1%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 52.9%47.1% No

Over 1.5 74.2%25.8% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 49.1%50.9% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 26.4%73.6% Under 3.5

Combos

Levski Sofia win and over 2.5 goals25.9%
Levski Sofia win and both teams score20.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.7%
Red Bull Salzburg win and over 2.5 goals17.0%

Outcome markets
	Levski Sofia	Red Bull Salzburg
Win or draw	69.9%	56.0%
Draw no bet	59.3%	40.7%
Win to nil	23.8%	16.0%
Either team wins	74.1%
Team goals
To score	76.7%	69.0%
Over 1.5 goals	42.7%	32.5%
Clean sheet	31.0%	23.3%