Lillestrom vs Torreense Prediction

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

Odds 1.55Won

73%

Correct score: 1-0
Alternative: 1-1
Under 3.5 goals: 4/5Lillestrom · last 5 games

Form

Lillestrom

W 2-0
W 2-1
W 3-0
L 1-4
D 1-1

Torreense

D 0-0
W 2-0
L 0-3
D 2-2
D 2-2

Bookmaker odds

1.77

3.86

4.36

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.21

Under 1.53.78

Over 2.51.74

Under 2.52.08

Over 3.52.70

Under 3.51.39

Both teams to score

Yes1.67

No2.10

Odd/Even

Odd1.86

Even1.84

Handicap

Home -0.751.93

Away +0.751.80

Methodology

Match analysis

Lillestrom and Torreense have combined for just 3.0 goals a game across their last five matches apiece, the base for Superior's Under 3.5 pick at 1.55 on their Europa League meeting on 17 September, priced at 58 percent. Torreense in particular have been held to two goals or fewer in four of those five games.

Torreense have not been part of a high scoring game all season

Four of Torreense's last five matches have finished with two goals or fewer in the whole game, including a 0-0 and back to back 2-2 draws that still stayed low by the standards of a two goal match. Lillestrom have posted three low scoring wins of their own, 2-0, 2-1 and 3-0, in the same stretch, and the two teams' combined scoring rate sits at exactly 3.0 goals a game, under the 3.5 line.

Lillestrom shipped four goals in their one bad night

Lillestrom's only outlier this run was a 1-4 defeat, proof their defense can be taken apart in one bad half, and Torreense have already shown in a 0-3 loss elsewhere that they can be on the wrong end of a similar night themselves. If either side has that game in them again on a European Thursday, the total gets past 3.5 quickly.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

Goals: Under 3.5Won1.55

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After full time

Top five correct scores

1-012.4%Our score
1-111.5%Alternative
2-010.5%
2-110.3%
0-07.1%

Top five combined: 51.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLillestromxG1.79

AwayTorreensexG0.86

7.1%

12%

10%

6.2%

2.8%

1.0%

0.4%

6.3%

12%

10%

5.4%

2.2%

0.8%

0.3%

2.7%

5.1%

4.5%

2.6%

1.0%

0.3%

0.1%

0.9%

1.5%

1.4%

0.8%

0.3%

<0.1%

0.2%

0.4%

0.3%

0.2%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 49.5%50.5% No

Over 1.5 74.2%25.8% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 49.5%50.5% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 27.1%72.9% Under 3.5

Combos

Lillestrom win and over 2.5 goals34.0%
Lillestrom win and both teams score23.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals18.6%
Torreense win and over 2.5 goals10.2%

Outcome markets
	Lillestrom	Torreense
Win or draw	80.9%	43.1%
Draw no bet	74.8%	25.2%
Win to nil	33.3%	10.2%
Either team wins	76.1%
Team goals
To score	82.7%	59.6%
Over 1.5 goals	51.8%	22.8%
Clean sheet	40.4%	17.3%