Racing Santander vs Valencia Prediction - 11 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
81%Odds 1.23Won
Correct score1-1Alternative3-2
Form
- L 0-5
- L 2-7
- W 2-1
- L 2-3
- W 3-2
- L 2-3
- W 1-0
- L 0-1
- L 0-5
- L 1-3
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Racing Santander lost 2-7 at Barcelona on 16 September, and none of their last five games finished with fewer than three goals. Superior has gone with Over 1.5 goals for Racing Santander vs Valencia on 11 October at 1.23, rated 81% by its model, with a 1-1 correct score and 3-2 as the alternative.
Racing have won 3-2 twice in their last five
They beat Rayo Vallecano 3-2 away and Elche 3-2 at home, then conceded five at Celta Vigo. Racing score 1.8 goals a game and have let in five or more twice, and the model measures both halves of that. Its expected scoring rate for Valencia rises above their recent form because it is set against what Racing allow, not against Valencia's output alone.
Valencia score 0.8 goals a game
This loses on 0-0 or a 1-0 either way. Valencia are the weak link: a 1-0 win at Alaves, a 0-1 defeat at Sevilla and a 0-5 home loss to Barcelona all sit in their last five. If Racing keep a rare clean sheet and Valencia stay that blunt, one goal could decide it.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-111.1%Our score
- 2-19.4%
- 1-08.0%
- 1-27.7%
- 0-16.7%
Top five combined: 42.9%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Racing Santander win and over 2.5 goals29.8%
- Racing Santander win and both teams score23.6%
- Valencia win and over 2.5 goals21.0%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals15.8%
| Racing Santander | Valencia | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 67.8% | 55.8% |
| Draw no bet | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| Win to nil | 20.6% | 14.6% |
| Either team wins | 76.4% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 80.6% | 74.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 48.7% | 39.8% |
| Clean sheet | 25.3% | 19.4% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.65
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +27 | 24 | |
| 2 | 8 | +10 | 19 | |
| 3 | 8 | +5 | 19 | |
| 4 | 8 | +11 | 18 | |
| 5 | 8 | +1 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | -3 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | +4 | 11 | |
| 8 | 9 | +1 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | +2 | 8 | |
| 10 | 6 | +1 | 8 | |
| 11 | 8 | 0 | 8 | |
| 12 | 8 | 0 | 8 | |
| 13 | 7 | -5 | 8 | |
| 14 | 8 | -6 | 8 | |
| 15 | 8 | -10 | 8 | |
| 16 | 8 | -10 | 8 | |
| 17 | 8 | -4 | 7 | |
| 18 | 8 | -6 | 6 | |
| 19 | 8 | -9 | 5 | |
| 20 | 8 | -9 | 4 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 7 | 27 | 24 | |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 | |
| 3 | Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 19 | |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 18 | |
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 14 | |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 13 | |
| 7 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 11 | |
| 8 | Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 11 | |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 | |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 8 | |
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 | |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 | |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 8 | |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 8 | |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 | |
| 17 | Levante | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 7 | |
| 18 | Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 6 | |
| 19 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 | |
| 20 | Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |