Elche vs Celta Vigo Prediction - 11 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
73%Odds 1.36Lost
Correct score1-1Alternative1-2
Form
- W 3-1
- L 2-3
- D 1-1
- L 2-3
- L 2-3
- W 5-0
- L 0-1
- D 1-1
- D 1-1
- D 0-0
Head to head
- 3 May 2026 Celta Vigo 3 Elche 1 La Liga
- 28 Sept 2025 Elche 2 Celta Vigo 1 La Liga
- 26 Apr 2023 Celta Vigo 1 Elche 0 La Liga
Match analysis
Elche have scored in each of their last five games, averaging 2.0 a game, and Celta Vigo arrive scoring 1.4. Superior's Over 1.5 goals selection for Elche vs Celta Vigo on 11 October is priced at 1.36. The model rates it at 73% and projects 1-1.
Elche lost 2-3 at home to Real Madrid and Real Sociedad
Every Elche game in the last five reached two goals: a 3-1 win at Espanyol, those two 2-3 home defeats, 1-1 at Athletic Club and 2-3 at Racing Santander. The model builds an expected scoring rate for each side from scoring and conceding strength, then prices the score grid. The two rates sit almost level, so the 1-1 and the 1-2 alternative lead the projection.
Celta's last three away games finished 1-0, 1-1 and 0-0
A 0-0 or a 1-0 either way loses this pick. Celta won 1-0 at Omonia Nicosia, drew 1-1 at Getafe and 0-0 at Real Sociedad, so their travel has been tight. Elche did win 2-1 at home to Celta last season, but lost 1-3 in the return.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Correct score: 1-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-112.6%Our score
- 0-19.1%
- 1-09.0%
- 1-28.7%Alternative
- 2-18.3%
Top five combined: 47.7%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Celta Vigo win and over 2.5 goals22.0%
- Elche win and over 2.5 goals21.3%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals19.7%
- Elche win and both teams score17.3%
| Elche | Celta Vigo | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 62.8% | 63.8% |
| Draw no bet | 49.3% | 50.7% |
| Win to nil | 18.9% | 19.4% |
| Either team wins | 73.3% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 73.5% | 74.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 38.2% | 39.0% |
| Clean sheet | 26.0% | 26.5% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.65
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +27 | 24 | |
| 2 | 8 | +10 | 19 | |
| 3 | 8 | +5 | 19 | |
| 4 | 8 | +11 | 18 | |
| 5 | 8 | +1 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | -3 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | +4 | 11 | |
| 8 | 9 | +1 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | +2 | 8 | |
| 10 | 6 | +1 | 8 | |
| 11 | 8 | 0 | 8 | |
| 12 | 8 | 0 | 8 | |
| 13 | 7 | -5 | 8 | |
| 14 | 8 | -6 | 8 | |
| 15 | 8 | -10 | 8 | |
| 16 | 8 | -10 | 8 | |
| 17 | 8 | -4 | 7 | |
| 18 | 8 | -6 | 6 | |
| 19 | 8 | -9 | 5 | |
| 20 | 8 | -9 | 4 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 7 | 27 | 24 | |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 | |
| 3 | Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 19 | |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 18 | |
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 14 | |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 13 | |
| 7 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 11 | |
| 8 | Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 11 | |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 | |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 8 | |
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 | |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 | |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 8 | |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 8 | |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 | |
| 17 | Levante | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 7 | |
| 18 | Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 6 | |
| 19 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 | |
| 20 | Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |