Head to Head Stats & Predictions

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CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Santa Fe vs Vasco DA Gama

Projected score
1 - 1
Alternative score
1 - 0
Featured pick
Goals: Under 3.5 @ 1.22
Match page and graded archive

Match analysis

Both Santa Fe and Vasco da Gama go into their Copa Sudamericana tie on 8 September on two days' rest and their fourth or fifth game inside a fortnight, the workload behind Superior's Under 3.5 goals pick at 1.22, rated 73 percent by the model. Santa Fe have already drawn three of their last five, twice without scoring at all.

Santa Fe have drawn three of five, twice without scoring

Two of Santa Fe's last five finished 0-0 and a third ended 1-1, with only a 3-2 win and a 2-0 win breaking the pattern. That kind of home form, low event, few clean sweeps, sits naturally under a 3.5 total even before Vasco's own travel and workload are factored in.

Vasco arrive worn down by their own fixture pile

Vasco da Gama have played four times in the last two weeks and go again here on two days' rest, the same squeeze Santa Fe are under. Vasco can score heavily when fresh, as a 4-1 win in that run shows, but they have also shipped four goals themselves in the same stretch, and a congested continental trip is a hard place to repeat either extreme.

Vasco's 4-1 and 1-4 swings are the total's real risk

Under 3.5 loses at four goals or more, and Vasco's last five already contain both a 4-1 win and a 1-4 defeat, proof this side can produce a high-event match under fatigue rather than a tight one. If either of those swings repeats here, the total goes over.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Bookmaker odds

Home2.50
Draw3.20
Away2.94

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.41
Under 1.52.54
Over 2.52.40
Under 2.51.57
Over 3.54.30
Under 3.51.15
Both teams to score
Yes1.97
No1.75
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.83
Handicap
Home +01.75
Away +02.07

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

Match History

Head to Head

Recent Form

Head to Head

Santa Fe vs Vasco DA Gama: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
September 3, 2026Santa Fe3 - 2Millonarios
August 29, 2026Junior1 - 1Santa Fe

Head to Head

Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
September 3, 2026Vitoria0 - 2Vasco DA Gama
August 30, 2026Vasco DA Gama3 - 1Cruzeiro FC
August 27, 2026Vasco DA Gama1 - 0Vitoria
August 23, 2026Palmeiras4 - 1Vasco DA Gama
August 20, 2026Olimpia1 - 4Vasco DA Gama
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