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Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe Prediction - 6 October 2026

Primera AColombiaFull time
Independiente Medellin
0-1
Santa Fe

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

75%Odds 1.30Lost

Correct score1-1Alternative2-1

5/5 Over 1.5 goals Independiente Medellin · last 5 games

Form

Independiente Medellin
  1. D 2-2
  2. L 0-2
  3. W 2-1
  4. D 2-2
  5. L 1-2
Santa Fe
  1. W 2-1
  2. D 1-1
  3. L 0-1
  4. W 4-1
  5. L 0-2

Head to head

  1. 23 Mar 2026 Santa Fe 2 Independiente Medellin 1 Primera A
  2. 21 Oct 2025 Independiente Medellin 1 Santa Fe 1 Primera A
  3. 2 Oct 2025 Santa Fe 0 Independiente Medellin 3 Copa Colombia

Bookmaker odds

Home2.16price rising, opened at 1.90
Draw3.20price falling, opened at 3.78
Away3.29price falling, opened at 3.80
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.27price falling, opened at 1.29
Under 1.53.14price falling, opened at 3.33
Over 2.51.97price rising, opened at 1.92
Under 2.51.77price falling, opened at 1.88
Over 3.53.28price rising, opened at 3.16
Under 3.51.25price falling, opened at 1.32
Both teams to score
Yes1.75
No1.97
Odd/Even
Odd1.90price rising, opened at 1.89
Even1.80price falling, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home -0.251.84
Away +0.251.87
Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Santa Fe have beaten Independiente Medellín 2-1 three times in their last five meetings, and Superior still forecasts a 1-1 draw for Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe on 4 October. Both sides score 1.4 goals a game, and the alternative score is a 2-1 Medellín win.

Medellín have conceded in all of their last five

Medellín drew 2-2 with Millonarios on 30 September and 2-2 at Bucaramanga, lost 2-0 at Junior and 2-1 at Chico, and beat Jaguares 2-1. Santa Fe scored in three of their five, including a 4-1 win at Alianza Petrolera and a 2-1 win at Deportivo Pereira. Superior's forecast starts from each side's measured scoring and conceding, and two matching rates of 1.4 put the centre of the score distribution on one goal each.

Santa Fe won 2-1 in three of five meetings

Santa Fe won 2-1 at home in March and by the same score twice away at Medellín in 2025, while Medellín's only win in those five was 3-0. One more Santa Fe goal in a game where both sides score turns the 1-1 into exactly that 1-2, and a Medellín defence that has conceded in every recent game keeps the route open.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Over 1.5Lost1.30
  • Correct score: 1-1Lost5.90
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-112.9%Our score
  2. 1-010.7%
  3. 2-19.3%Alternative
  4. 0-18.5%
  5. 1-27.7%

Top five combined: 49.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeIndependiente MedellinxG1.44
AwaySanta FexG1.28
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.1%
11%
7.0%
3.4%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
1
8.5%
13%
9.3%
4.0%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
2
4.9%
7.7%
5.5%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
2.1%
2.8%
2.1%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.6%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 53.8%46.2% No
Over 1.5 73.6%26.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 48.9%51.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 26.3%73.7% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Independiente Medellin win and over 2.5 goals24.3%
  2. Draw and under 2.5 goals20.0%
  3. Independiente Medellin win and both teams score19.4%
  4. Santa Fe win and over 2.5 goals17.9%
Independiente MedellinSanta Fe
Outcome markets
Win or draw68.7%57.9%
Draw no bet57.4%42.6%
Win to nil22.7%16.3%
Either team wins73.4%
Team goals
To score76.5%70.1%
Over 1.5 goals41.3%33.6%
Clean sheet29.9%23.5%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.64
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Formations

Confirmed formations

Independiente Medellin: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)Santa Fe: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe
League table

League table

Primera AColombia · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Atletico Nacional
1913153515+2040
2
Junior
1911263124+735
3
Deportivo Pasto
1910452925+434
4
America de Cali
1910362515+1033
5
Once Caldas
198923122+933
6
Deportes Tolima
198742717+1031
7
Santa Fe
197842922+729
8
Internacional de Bogota
197752626028
9
Deportivo Cali
197662016+427
10
Millonarios
197573123+826
11
Independiente Medellin
197572624+226
12
Rionegro Aguilas
197572025-526
13
Bucaramanga
195862620+623
14
Llaneros
1941051720-322
15
Fortaleza FC
195772227-522
16
Jaguares
1953112033-1318
17
Alianza Petrolera
193881327-1417
18
Chico
1952121532-1717
19
Cucuta
193792235-1316
20
Deportivo Pereira
1917111532-1710
Primera A - League table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Atletico Nacional19131535152040WWLWW
2Junior1911263124735LLLWW
3Deportivo Pasto1910452925434LLLLL
4America de Cali19103625151033WWLDW
5Once Caldas198923122933DWDLW
6Deportes Tolima1987427171031WWLLW
7Santa Fe197842922729DLLDW
8Internacional de Bogota197752626028LLLLW
9Deportivo Cali197662016427LWDWL
10Millonarios197573123826WLDWL
11Independiente Medellin197572624226WWLWW
12Rionegro Aguilas197572025-526
13Bucaramanga195862620623DWLDL
14Llaneros1941051720-322DWLDL
15Fortaleza FC195772227-522DDWLL
16Jaguares1953112033-1318LLWDL
17Alianza Petrolera193881327-1417
18Chico1952121532-1717LWLLW
19Cucuta193792235-1316LLDLW
20Deportivo Pereira1917111532-1710DLLWL