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Santa Fe vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction - 8 September 2026

CONMEBOL SudamericanaWorldFull time
Santa Fe
0-0
Vasco DA Gama

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

Odds 1.22Won

73%
Correct score
1-1
Alternative
1-0

Form

Santa Fe
  1. D 2-2
  2. W 3-2
  3. D 1-1
  4. D 1-1
  5. D 0-0
Vasco DA Gama
  1. L 0-1
  2. W 2-0
  3. W 3-1
  4. W 1-0
  5. L 1-4

Bookmaker odds

1Home
2.22
XDraw
2.86
2Away
3.74
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.74
Under 1.52.10
Over 2.53.13
Under 2.51.33
Over 3.55.90
Under 3.51.11
Both teams to score
Yes2.38
No1.54
Odd/Even
Odd1.93
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -0.251.90
Away +0.251.90
Methodology
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Match highlights

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Match analysis

Both Santa Fe and Vasco da Gama go into their Copa Sudamericana tie on 8 September on two days' rest and their fourth or fifth game inside a fortnight, the workload behind Superior's Under 3.5 goals pick at 1.22, rated 73 percent by the model. Santa Fe have already drawn three of their last five, twice without scoring at all.

Santa Fe have drawn three of five, twice without scoring

Two of Santa Fe's last five finished 0-0 and a third ended 1-1, with only a 3-2 win and a 2-0 win breaking the pattern. That kind of home form, low event, few clean sweeps, sits naturally under a 3.5 total even before Vasco's own travel and workload are factored in.

Vasco arrive worn down by their own fixture pile

Vasco da Gama have played four times in the last two weeks and go again here on two days' rest, the same squeeze Santa Fe are under. Vasco can score heavily when fresh, as a 4-1 win in that run shows, but they have also shipped four goals themselves in the same stretch, and a congested continental trip is a hard place to repeat either extreme.

Vasco's 4-1 and 1-4 swings are the total's real risk

Under 3.5 loses at four goals or more, and Vasco's last five already contain both a 4-1 win and a 1-4 defeat, proof this side can produce a high-event match under fatigue rather than a tight one. If either of those swings repeats here, the total goes over.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 3.5Won1.22
  • Goals: Under 2.5Won1.62
  • Correct score: 1-1Lost6.00
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After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-112.3%Our score
  2. 1-010.5%Alternative
  3. 2-19.0%
  4. 0-18.5%
  5. 2-07.6%

Top five combined: 47.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSanta FexG1.45
AwayVasco DA GamaxG1.18
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.2%
10%
7.6%
3.7%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
1
8.5%
12%
9.0%
4.3%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
2
5.0%
7.3%
5.3%
2.6%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
3
2.0%
2.9%
2.1%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 53.1%46.9% No
Over 1.5 73.9%26.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 49.0%51.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 27.1%72.9% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Santa Fe win and over 2.5 goals25.4%
  2. Santa Fe win and both teams score19.9%
  3. Draw and under 2.5 goals19.5%
  4. Vasco DA Gama win and over 2.5 goals17.2%
Santa FeVasco DA Gama
Outcome markets
Win or draw69.4%56.5%
Draw no bet58.7%41.3%
Win to nil23.6%16.2%
Either team wins74.1%
Team goals
To score76.7%69.2%
Over 1.5 goals42.7%33.0%
Clean sheet30.8%23.3%

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Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.61
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Prediction, preview and head to head: Santa Fe vs Vasco DA Gama