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Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe Prediction - 15 September 2026

CONMEBOL SudamericanaWorldFull time
Vasco DA Gama
2-0
Santa Fe

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

Odds 1.32Won

84%
Correct score
1-0
Alternative
1-1
Under 3.5 goals
4/5Vasco DA Gama · last 5 games

Form

Vasco DA Gama
  1. W 2-1
  2. D 0-0
  3. L 0-1
  4. W 2-0
  5. W 3-1
Santa Fe
  1. W 1-0
  2. D 0-0
  3. D 2-2
  4. W 3-2
  5. D 1-1

Head to head

  1. 8 Sept 2026 Santa Fe 0 Vasco DA Gama 0 CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Bookmaker odds

1Home
1.39
XDraw
4.75
2Away
8.10
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.27
Under 1.53.70
Over 2.51.87
Under 2.51.93
Over 3.53.36
Under 3.51.32
Both teams to score
Yes2.20
No1.67
Odd/Even
Odd1.90
Even1.90
Handicap
Home -1.251.87
Away +1.251.93
Methodology
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Match highlights

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Match analysis

Santa Fe arrive at this Sudamericana second leg on 15 September with zero rest days and six matches packed into the last fortnight, while Vasco da Gama have had three days to prepare for a tie that finished 0-0 a week ago. Superior backs Under 3.5 goals again at 1.32, a 69 percent read, built on a Colombian side that has drawn four of its last five matches outright.

Santa Fe have played six matches in the last two weeks

This is the return leg of a tie that finished goalless in Bogota seven days ago, and the schedule since has hit one side much harder than the other. Santa Fe have gone straight from that first leg into a run of six matches in fourteen days with no rest between fixtures, while Vasco have had three clear days to recover. Four of Santa Fe's last five outings have finished as draws, three of them 0-0 or 1-1, and that kind of scoreless pattern is exactly what keeps a match under the total rather than pushing it over.

Vasco have scored three or more goals in one of their last five

Under 3.5 loses only if the sides combine for four goals or more, and Vasco carry that scoring burst somewhere in their recent form: a 3-1 win sits in their last five games, the only match in that stretch to reach four goals combined. Santa Fe conceded two in a draw of their own not long ago too, so neither side is entirely allergic to an open game. That 3-1 result is the outlier rather than the pattern, though, with the other four Vasco matches settling at two goals or fewer between both sides, which is why the tighter total remains the more likely script for a second leg with this much riding on it.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 3.5Won1.32
  • Correct score: 1-0Lost5.50
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After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-016.3%Our score
  2. 1-112.5%Alternative
  3. 0-012.2%
  4. 2-010.5%
  5. 0-18.9%

Top five combined: 60.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeVasco DA GamaxG1.36
AwaySanta FexG0.57
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
12%
16%
10%
4.7%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
1
8.9%
13%
8.5%
3.3%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
3.9%
5.0%
3.5%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
1.2%
1.4%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 40.1%59.9% No
Over 1.5 62.6%37.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 35.8%64.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 16.4%83.6% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Draw and under 2.5 goals24.7%
  2. Vasco DA Gama win and over 2.5 goals22.0%
  3. Vasco DA Gama win and both teams score15.3%
  4. Santa Fe win and over 2.5 goals9.8%
Vasco DA GamaSanta Fe
Outcome markets
Win or draw77.4%51.2%
Draw no bet68.4%31.6%
Win to nil33.5%14.3%
Either team wins71.4%
Team goals
To score73.5%54.3%
Over 1.5 goals37.9%19.7%
Clean sheet45.7%26.5%

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Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.61
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Prediction, preview and head to head: Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe