Head to Head Stats & Predictions

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UEFA Nations League

Netherlands vs Germany

Correct score
1 - 1
Alternative score
2 - 1
Featured pick
Goals: Over 1.5 @ 1.2
Match page and graded archive

Match analysis

Germany have scored sixteen goals in their last five matches, the heaviest output of any side previewed for 24 September, and it is the backbone of Superior's Over 1.5 goals call on Netherlands vs Germany at 1.20. Eighty percent confidence from the model reflects a combined 5.6 goals a game between two attacks both rated above 6.0.

Germany have scored sixteen goals in their last five matches

That volume includes a 7-1 win and three other multi-goal matches, and it lines up with their season average of 3.2 goals a game, the highest scoring rate on this fixture list. Even accounting for a tougher Dutch defence rated 6.2, a team scoring at that pace clearing 1.5 goals by itself is a low bar.

Netherlands have scored in four of their last five at this level

The hosts have their own scoring case: four wins in their last five including a 5-1, with the only blank coming in a 0-1 defeat. Netherlands' attack rating of 6.1 against Germany's defence rated 6.4 is a closer match on the model's scale, but between two sides averaging a combined 5.6 goals a game, the lean toward goals holds from either direction.

Netherlands' one blank in five was a 0-1 defeat

The genuine risk is a repeat of that single scoreless Dutch performance: Netherlands lost 0-1 without scoring themselves, and if their attack goes quiet again against a Germany defence rated 6.4, a tight 1-0 finish is enough to beat this line. It is the one result in ten recent matches between both sides that would.

AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Bookmaker odds

Home2.38price falling, opened at 2.40
Draw3.74price rising, opened at 3.70
Away2.74

Market move since Sep 21. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.10price falling, opened at 1.11
Under 1.55.00price rising, opened at 4.80
Over 2.51.48price falling, opened at 1.52
Under 2.52.43price rising, opened at 2.33
Over 3.52.31price falling, opened at 2.40
Under 3.51.61price rising, opened at 1.57
Both teams to score
Yes1.43price falling, opened at 1.45
No2.66price rising, opened at 2.59
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.83
Handicap
Home +01.78
Away +02.04price rising, opened at 2.02

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

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Match History

Head to Head

These two have never met in our records.

Recent Form

Head to Head

Germany vs Netherlands: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
June 25, 2026Ecuador2 - 1Germany
June 20, 2026Germany2 - 1Ivory Coast
June 14, 2026Germany7 - 1Curaçao
June 6, 2026USA1 - 2Germany

Head to Head

Netherlands vs Germany: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
June 25, 2026Tunisia1 - 3Netherlands
June 20, 2026Netherlands5 - 1Sweden
June 14, 2026Netherlands2 - 2Japan