Head to Head Stats & Predictions
Next meeting
Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock
- Projected score
- 1 - 1
- Alternative score
- 1 - 0
- Featured pick
- Goals: Under 2.5 @ 1.47
Match analysis
The 1.47 price on Under 2.5 goals for Avispa Fukuoka's J1 League home date with Mito Hollyhock on 5 September needs about 68 percent to break even before margin, well under the 74 percent probability Superior's model gives the pick, built on both sides averaging exactly 1.2 goals a game.
Both attacks are averaging exactly 1.2 goals a game
Avispa Fukuoka and Mito Hollyhock are both averaging 1.2 goals a game this season, a combined rate that sits comfortably under the 2.5 line. Both sides are also carrying identical fixture congestion, three days' rest and four matches in the last fortnight, which tends to flatten games into cagier, more cautious contests rather than end-to-end ones.
Avispa's 3-0 win shows the congestion has not always meant caution
The pick loses if this produces three goals or more, and Avispa's 3-0 win earlier in their run did exactly that despite the same heavy schedule. Mito Hollyhock have also scored three in a 3-1 win this season. If either side finds an early goal against a tired opponent, the extra fixtures could work against caution rather than for it.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Bookmaker odds
Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.
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One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.
Match History
Head to Head
Recent Form
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 2, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka | 2 - 3 | Urawa |
| August 29, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga | 2 - 1 | Avispa Fukuoka |
| August 26, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka | 0 - 0 | Verspah Oita |
| August 22, 2026 | Kashima | 3 - 2 | Avispa Fukuoka |
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 2, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock | 4 - 2 | Kashima |
| August 29, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock | 1 - 1 | Machida Zelvia |
| August 26, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock | 0 - 2 | Kyoto Sangyo University |
| August 22, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga | 1 - 3 | Mito Hollyhock |
| August 15, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock | 1 - 1 | Gamba Osaka |