Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock Prediction - August 22, 2026

J1 LeagueJapanFull time
Kyoto Sanga
1:3
Mito Hollyhock
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.26Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.10price rising, opened at 2.08
Draw3.23price falling, opened at 3.44
Away3.72price rising, opened at 3.56

Market move since Aug 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.34price rising, opened at 1.33
Under 1.53.22price rising, opened at 2.85
Over 2.52.23price rising, opened at 2.19
Under 2.51.66price falling, opened at 1.68
Over 3.54.02price rising, opened at 3.92
Under 3.51.25price rising, opened at 1.18
Both teams to score
Yes1.74price falling, opened at 1.88
No2.08price rising, opened at 1.82
Odd/Even
Odd1.96price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.84
Handicap
Home -0.251.81price rising, opened at 1.78
Away +0.252.00price falling, opened at 2.03

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Kyoto Sanga and Mito Hollyhock average 3.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.4%Projected
  2. 1-012.0%Alternative
  3. 0-09.2%
  4. 2-08.6%
  5. 2-18.6%

Top five combined: 50.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeKyoto SangaxG1.62
AwayMito HollyhockxG1.34
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.2%
8.4%
6.8%
3.7%
1.5%
0.5%
0.2%
1
6.9%
11%
9.1%
4.9%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
2
4.6%
7.5%
6.1%
3.3%
1.3%
0.4%
0.2%
3
2.1%
3.4%
2.7%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.7%
1.1%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 59.2%40.8% No
Over 1.5 79.5%20.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 56.8%43.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 34.5%65.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Kyoto Sanga win and over 2.5 goals29.0%
Kyoto Sanga win and both teams score23.1%
Mito Hollyhock win and over 2.5 goals20.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Kyoto Sanga or draw68.4%
Mito Hollyhock or draw55.8%
Either team wins75.8%
Draw no bet: Kyoto Sanga58.3%
Draw no bet: Mito Hollyhock41.7%
Kyoto Sanga win to nil21.1%
Mito Hollyhock win to nil14.5%
Team goals
Kyoto Sanga to score80.3%
Mito Hollyhock to score73.8%
Kyoto Sanga over 1.5 goals48.3%
Mito Hollyhock over 1.5 goals38.7%
Kyoto Sanga clean sheet26.2%
Mito Hollyhock clean sheet19.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Kyoto Sanga: 4-3-3(predicted)Mito Hollyhock: 4-4-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock
League Table

League Table

J1 LeagueJapan · 2027/2028
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400104+612
24400116+512
34310133+1010
4422082+68
5421187+17
6421143+17
7413086+26
8420265+16
942027706
10420235-26
11412165+15
12412167-15
13411234-14
14411268-24
1541036603
16410313-23
174103813-53
18410349-53
19402226-42
204004213-110
J1 League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Kashiwa Reysol4400104612
2Kashima4400116512
3Machida Zelvia43101331010
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima42208268
5FC Tokyo42118717
6Vissel Kobe42114317
7Kawasaki Frontale41308626
8Nagoya Grampus42026516
9Yokohama F. Marinos42027706
10Cerezo Osaka420235-26
11Mito Hollyhock41216515
12Gamba Osaka412167-15
13Fagiano Okayama411234-14
14Kyoto Sanga411268-24
15Avispa Fukuoka41036603
16Shimizu S-pulse410313-23
17Urawa4103813-53
18V-varen Nagasaki410349-53
19Tokyo Verdy402226-42
20JEF United Chiba4004213-110