Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 2.51.47

Bookmaker odds

Home2.03

Draw3.36

Away3.80

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

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One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Mito Hollyhock are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 2, 2026, 00:04 UTCModel CS-4Methodology

Match analysis

The 1.47 price on Under 2.5 goals for Avispa Fukuoka's J1 League home date with Mito Hollyhock on 5 September needs about 68 percent to break even before margin, well under the 74 percent probability Superior's model gives the pick, built on both sides averaging exactly 1.2 goals a game.

Both attacks are averaging exactly 1.2 goals a game

Avispa Fukuoka and Mito Hollyhock are both averaging 1.2 goals a game this season, a combined rate that sits comfortably under the 2.5 line. Both sides are also carrying identical fixture congestion, three days' rest and four matches in the last fortnight, which tends to flatten games into cagier, more cautious contests rather than end-to-end ones.

Avispa's 3-0 win shows the congestion has not always meant caution

The pick loses if this produces three goals or more, and Avispa's 3-0 win earlier in their run did exactly that despite the same heavy schedule. Mito Hollyhock have also scored three in a 3-1 win this season. If either side finds an early goal against a tired opponent, the extra fixtures could work against caution rather than for it.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

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Team news

Expected formations

Avispa Fukuoka: 3-4-2-1(predicted)Mito Hollyhock: 4-4-2(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock

League Table

J1 LeagueJapan · 2027/2028

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Kashiwa Reysol	4	4	0	0	10	4	+6	12
2	Kashima	4	4	0	0	11	6	+5	12
3	Machida Zelvia	4	3	1	0	13	3	+10	10
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	2	2	0	8	2	+6	8
5	FC Tokyo	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
6	Vissel Kobe	4	2	1	1	4	3	+1	7
7	Kawasaki Frontale	4	1	3	0	8	6	+2	6
8	Nagoya Grampus	4	2	0	2	6	5	+1	6
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	4	2	0	2	7	7	0	6
10	Cerezo Osaka	4	2	0	2	3	5	-2	6
11	Mito Hollyhock	4	1	2	1	6	5	+1	5
12	Gamba Osaka	4	1	2	1	6	7	-1	5
13	Fagiano Okayama	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	4
14	Kyoto Sanga	4	1	1	2	6	8	-2	4
15	Avispa Fukuoka	4	1	0	3	6	6	0	3
16	Shimizu S-pulse	4	1	0	3	1	3	-2	3
17	Urawa	4	1	0	3	8	13	-5	3
18	V-varen Nagasaki	4	1	0	3	4	9	-5	3
19	Tokyo Verdy	4	0	2	2	2	6	-4	2
20	JEF United Chiba	4	0	0	4	2	13	-11	0

J1 League - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Kashiwa Reysol	4	4	0	0	10	4	6	12
2	Kashima	4	4	0	0	11	6	5	12
3	Machida Zelvia	4	3	1	0	13	3	10	10
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	2	2	0	8	2	6	8
5	FC Tokyo	4	2	1	1	8	7	1	7
6	Vissel Kobe	4	2	1	1	4	3	1	7
7	Kawasaki Frontale	4	1	3	0	8	6	2	6
8	Nagoya Grampus	4	2	0	2	6	5	1	6
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	4	2	0	2	7	7	0	6
10	Cerezo Osaka	4	2	0	2	3	5	-2	6
11	Mito Hollyhock	4	1	2	1	6	5	1	5
12	Gamba Osaka	4	1	2	1	6	7	-1	5
13	Fagiano Okayama	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	4
14	Kyoto Sanga	4	1	1	2	6	8	-2	4
15	Avispa Fukuoka	4	1	0	3	6	6	0	3
16	Shimizu S-pulse	4	1	0	3	1	3	-2	3
17	Urawa	4	1	0	3	8	13	-5	3
18	V-varen Nagasaki	4	1	0	3	4	9	-5	3
19	Tokyo Verdy	4	0	2	2	2	6	-4	2
20	JEF United Chiba	4	0	0	4	2	13	-11	0