Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia Prediction - August 29, 2026

J1 LeagueJapanFull time
Mito Hollyhock
1:1
Machida Zelvia
Projected scoreOur pick
1-2

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.20Won

Bookmaker odds

Home4.44price rising, opened at 3.84
Draw3.40price rising, opened at 3.26
Away1.87price falling, opened at 2.05

Market move since Aug 26. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.39price falling, opened at 1.41
Under 1.52.98price rising, opened at 2.54
Over 2.52.23price falling, opened at 2.40
Under 2.51.66price rising, opened at 1.57
Over 3.54.02price falling, opened at 4.40
Under 3.51.25price rising, opened at 1.14
Both teams to score
Yes1.89price falling, opened at 2.03
No1.91price rising, opened at 1.70
Odd/Even
Odd1.96price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.84price rising, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home +0.751.73
Away -0.752.12

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Machida Zelvia are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-29.3%Projected
  2. 1-18.1%Alternative
  3. 1-37.1%
  4. 0-26.9%
  5. 2-26.3%

Top five combined: 37.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMito HollyhockxG1.35
AwayMachida ZelviaxG2.30
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.6%
3.5%
2.4%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1
6.0%
8.1%
5.4%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
2
6.9%
9.3%
6.3%
2.8%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
3
5.3%
7.1%
4.8%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
4
3.0%
4.1%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
5
1.4%
1.9%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
6+
0.8%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 66.6%33.4% No
Over 1.5 87.9%12.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 70.6%29.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 49.5%50.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Mito Hollyhock win and over 2.5 goals15.8%
Mito Hollyhock win and both teams score14.2%
Machida Zelvia win and over 2.5 goals45.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals10.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Mito Hollyhock or draw41.2%
Machida Zelvia or draw78.3%
Either team wins80.4%
Draw no bet: Mito Hollyhock26.9%
Draw no bet: Machida Zelvia73.1%
Mito Hollyhock win to nil7.4%
Machida Zelvia win to nil23.4%
Team goals
Mito Hollyhock to score74.0%
Machida Zelvia to score90.0%
Mito Hollyhock over 1.5 goals39.0%
Machida Zelvia over 1.5 goals66.9%
Mito Hollyhock clean sheet10.0%
Machida Zelvia clean sheet26.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Team news

Expected formations

Mito Hollyhock: 4-4-2(predicted)Machida Zelvia: 3-4-2-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia
League Table

League Table

J1 LeagueJapan · 2027/2028
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400104+612
24400116+512
34310133+1010
4422082+68
5421187+17
6421143+17
7413086+26
8420265+16
942027706
10420235-26
11412165+15
12412167-15
13411234-14
14411268-24
1541036603
16410313-23
174103813-53
18410349-53
19402226-42
204004213-110
J1 League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Kashiwa Reysol4400104612
2Kashima4400116512
3Machida Zelvia43101331010
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima42208268
5FC Tokyo42118717
6Vissel Kobe42114317
7Kawasaki Frontale41308626
8Nagoya Grampus42026516
9Yokohama F. Marinos42027706
10Cerezo Osaka420235-26
11Mito Hollyhock41216515
12Gamba Osaka412167-15
13Fagiano Okayama411234-14
14Kyoto Sanga411268-24
15Avispa Fukuoka41036603
16Shimizu S-pulse410313-23
17Urawa4103813-53
18V-varen Nagasaki410349-53
19Tokyo Verdy402226-42
20JEF United Chiba4004213-110