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Bet of the Day

7 November 2026

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Why this pick

Every defeat in Ben Shelton's last ten matches included a tiebreak he lost, and he has won five of his last six, which is the floor under Saturday's Best Bet of Shelton beating Luca Van Assche in Paris. Ranked fourth to Van Assche's 47th, he sits clear of the day's next two picks, both Hong Kong semi-finals priced close to level.

A lost tiebreak in every Shelton defeat since September

Shelton lost 6-7(1) in the third set to Jerome Kym in Basel on 29 October and 6-7(5) 6-7(3) to Arthur Gea in Shanghai, and Alexander Zverev's four-set win at the US Open included a 7-6(2) set. In the same spell he took three tiebreaks from Aleksandar Kovacevic in one match and closed out Arthur Rinderknech 7-6(5) on Thursday. Van Assche has to win the tight sets to beat him, and he has split his two tiebreaks this week.

Why Paris ranks above Hong Kong on Saturday

Claire Liu and Alexandra Eala, second and third on the list, are priced 2.04 and 1.76 against Alexandra Shubladze and Maria Sakkari, and Liu is the underdog in hers. Shelton is 1.29 against a player 43 places below him, whose last two wins went to a final set that finished 6-4 and 7-5.

Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton: stats and odds