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Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton Prediction, Rolex Paris Masters, 7 November 2026

Rolex Paris MastersMasters 1000 · Indoor hard · Semi-final
Ben Shelton to win76%chance

Match analysis

Luca Van Assche's semi-final against Ben Shelton is his fourth match in four days, after three-set wins over Lorenzo Musetti and Rinky Hijikata on Thursday and Friday. Superior's pick is Shelton, ranked fourth to Van Assche's 47th, who had Wednesday off in Paris and has played eight sets this week to Van Assche's ten.

Van Assche has already beaten the two men who stopped him in October

Musetti beat Van Assche in Lyon on 23 October, 7-6(5) 6-7(7) 6-4, and Learner Tien beat him 6-3 6-1 in Vienna three days later. In Paris he has turned both around, Tien 7-6(4) 6-4 on Wednesday and Musetti 7-5 3-6 6-4 a day later. Since 20 October he has won six indoor matches and lost two, and that run is the strongest fact against the pick.

Five of Van Assche's ten Paris sets went to 7-5 or 7-6

Van Assche's sets this week have been long ones: 7-5 against Mariano Navone, a tiebreak against Tien, 7-5 in the third against Musetti and two sets past 6-5 against Hijikata. Shelton has had one such set, the 7-6(5) that closed out Arthur Rinderknech on Thursday after he had lost the first. He beat Cameron Norrie 6-3 6-4 to start and Tommy Paul 6-4 4-6 6-3 on Friday, and on hard courts this year he is 32-9, Van Assche 33-14.

Form

Luca Van Assche
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
Ben Shelton
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

Win-loss 2026

Luca Van AsscheBen Shelton
Hard33-1432-9
Clay18-108-5
Grass0-16-2