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Maria Sakkari vs Alexandra Eala Prediction, Hong Kong Tennis Open, 7 November 2026

Hong Kong Tennis OpenWTA · Hard · Semi-final
Alexandra Eala to win57%chance

Match analysis

Alexandra Eala won both of her tiebreaks in Hong Kong 9-7 and took the other close set of the week 7-5, which is how she reached Saturday's semi-final without losing a set. Superior's pick is Eala against Maria Sakkari, who came from a set down to beat Maya Joint and is 2-2 in deciding sets since 12 October.

Diana Shnaider is the only player to beat Eala since 19 October

Eala's two defeats in her last ten both came against Shnaider, 5-7 4-6 in Ningbo and 6-2 6-7(5) 4-6 in Tokyo after she had won the opening set. Six other opponents have gone down in that spell, Talia Gibson 4-6 6-2 6-0 after taking the first set and Mika Stojsavljevic for the loss of three games. Eala is ranked 17th to Sakkari's 30th and has won 32 of her 47 hard-court matches in 2026.

Sakkari's third sets have split both ways

Sakkari beat Marta Kostyuk from a set down in Wuhan and Joint 4-6 6-3 6-3 here, but lost 5-7 in the third to Maja Chwalinska and 1-6 in the third to Yulia Putintseva in Tokyo. Her Friday win over Aliaksandra Sasnovich, 6-2 6-3, was her most comfortable of the week, and she is 25-14 on the surface.

Form

Maria Sakkari
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
Alexandra Eala
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W

Win-loss 2026

Maria SakkariAlexandra Eala
Hard25-1432-15
Clay3-54-6
Grass2-312-4