Oriental vs Racing Montevideo Prediction - September 3, 2026

Copa UruguayUruguayFull time
Oriental
1:2
Racing Montevideo
Projected scoreOur pick
0-0

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.20Won

Bookmaker odds

Home5.25price falling, opened at 5.28
Draw3.67price falling, opened at 3.74
Away1.65price rising, opened at 1.55

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.42price rising, opened at 1.33
Under 1.52.75price falling, opened at 2.81
Over 2.52.22price rising, opened at 2.15
Under 2.51.62price rising, opened at 1.61
Over 3.53.98price falling, opened at 4.05
Under 3.51.22price rising, opened at 1.16
Both teams to score
Yes2.50price rising, opened at 2.11
No1.50price falling, opened at 1.62
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.80
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home +0.752.03price rising, opened at 1.92
Away -0.751.78price rising, opened at 1.71

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Oriental vs Racing Montevideo?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 0, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Racing Montevideo are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Oriental and Racing Montevideo average 2.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
Compare all books

Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-015.4%Projected
  2. 0-114.9%Alternative
  3. 1-014.0%
  4. 1-113.5%
  5. 0-27.2%

Top five combined: 65.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeOrientalxG0.90
AwayRacing MontevideoxG0.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15%
14%
6.3%
1.9%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1
15%
13%
6.1%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
2
7.2%
6.5%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
3
2.3%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.6%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 36.8%63.2% No
Over 1.5 55.7%44.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 28.8%71.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 12.0%88.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Oriental win and over 2.5 goals12.1%
Oriental win and both teams score9.6%
Racing Montevideo win and over 2.5 goals13.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals28.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Oriental or draw64.5%
Racing Montevideo or draw67.7%
Either team wins67.9%
Draw no bet: Oriental47.6%
Draw no bet: Racing Montevideo52.4%
Oriental win to nil22.7%
Racing Montevideo win to nil25.0%
Team goals
Oriental to score59.5%
Racing Montevideo to score61.9%
Oriental over 1.5 goals22.9%
Racing Montevideo over 1.5 goals25.1%
Oriental clean sheet38.1%
Racing Montevideo clean sheet40.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

More Copa Uruguay Predictions

78%
Rentistas
Plaza Colonia
Goals Over/Under: Under 3.5 @ 1.19
62%
CA River Plate
Club Nacional
Goals Over/Under: Over 1.5 @ 1.36
65%
Albion FC
Progreso
Goals Over/Under: Under 3.5 @ 1.21
View All Predictions
Prediction, preview and head to head: Oriental vs Racing Montevideo