Albion FC vs Progreso Prediction - September 3, 2026

Copa UruguayUruguayFull time
Albion FC
2:1
Progreso
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.21Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.25price rising, opened at 2.16
Draw3.40price rising, opened at 3.26
Away3.03price rising, opened at 3.01

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.42price rising, opened at 1.35
Under 1.52.75price rising, opened at 2.74
Over 2.52.22price rising, opened at 2.12
Under 2.51.62price falling, opened at 1.63
Over 3.53.71price falling, opened at 3.84
Under 3.51.25price rising, opened at 1.18
Both teams to score
Yes2.11price rising, opened at 1.86
No1.68price falling, opened at 1.81
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.80
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home -0.251.95price rising, opened at 1.86
Away +0.251.85price rising, opened at 1.81

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Albion FC vs Progreso?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Albion FC are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Albion FC and Progreso average 1.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-015.2%Projected
  2. 1-111.8%Alternative
  3. 2-011.7%
  4. 0-09.9%
  5. 2-19.1%

Top five combined: 57.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAlbion FCxG1.54
AwayProgresoxG0.77
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.9%
15%
12%
6.0%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
1
7.7%
12%
9.1%
4.6%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
2
3.0%
4.6%
3.5%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
3
0.8%
1.2%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 42.3%57.7% No
Over 1.5 67.2%32.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 40.7%59.3% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 20.3%79.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Albion FC win and over 2.5 goals28.5%
Albion FC win and both teams score19.3%
Progreso win and over 2.5 goals8.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals21.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Albion FC or draw81.2%
Progreso or draw44.5%
Either team wins74.3%
Draw no bet: Albion FC74.7%
Draw no bet: Progreso25.3%
Albion FC win to nil36.3%
Progreso win to nil11.6%
Team goals
Albion FC to score78.5%
Progreso to score53.8%
Albion FC over 1.5 goals45.5%
Progreso over 1.5 goals18.2%
Albion FC clean sheet46.2%
Progreso clean sheet21.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Albion FC vs Progreso
Head to Head

Head to Head

Albion FC vs Progreso: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
June 7, 2026Progreso1 - 2Albion FC
March 7, 2026Progreso2 - 2Albion FC