Ghana vs Gambia Prediction - 29 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
73%Odds 1.29
Correct score1-0Alternative1-1
What is the prediction for Ghana vs Gambia?
Our correct score is 1-0, then 1-1. Gambia are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Ghana lost 2-0 in Ivory Coast on 24 September, and none of their last five games went past three goals. That record is why Superior takes Under 3.5 goals in Ghana vs Gambia on 29 September at 1.29, a pick the model rates at 73 percent.
Ghana have scored twice in five games
Superior's expected scoring rate for each team comes from what it scores and concedes, and Ghana's is low at both ends: two goals scored and five conceded in games against Ivory Coast, Colombia, Croatia, England and Panama. That run produced 0-2, 0-1, 1-2, 0-0 and 1-0. Gambia average 2.8 goals a game, but seven of their fourteen came in one 7-0 win over Seychelles, and against Senegal and Iran they managed one each. The correct score is 1-0 to Ghana, with 1-1 the alternative.
Gambia's last five games averaged five goals
Under 3.5 loses at four goals, and four of Gambia's last five matches reached that mark: 7-0 against Seychelles, a 4-3 home defeat by Gabon and two 3-1 defeats by Senegal and Iran. Gambia have conceded eleven in those five, so an open game could come from either end. A 2-2 or a 3-1 Ghana win would beat the pick.
Today's acca
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