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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Ghana vs Gambia

Correct score
1 - 0
Alternative score
1 - 1
Featured pick
Goals: Under 3.5 @ 1.29
Match page

Match analysis

Ghana lost 2-0 in Ivory Coast on 24 September, and none of their last five games went past three goals. That record is why Superior takes Under 3.5 goals in Ghana vs Gambia on 29 September at 1.29, a pick the model rates at 73 percent.

Ghana have scored twice in five games

Superior's expected scoring rate for each team comes from what it scores and concedes, and Ghana's is low at both ends: two goals scored and five conceded in games against Ivory Coast, Colombia, Croatia, England and Panama. That run produced 0-2, 0-1, 1-2, 0-0 and 1-0. Gambia average 2.8 goals a game, but seven of their fourteen came in one 7-0 win over Seychelles, and against Senegal and Iran they managed one each. The correct score is 1-0 to Ghana, with 1-1 the alternative.

Gambia's last five games averaged five goals

Under 3.5 loses at four goals, and four of Gambia's last five matches reached that mark: 7-0 against Seychelles, a 4-3 home defeat by Gabon and two 3-1 defeats by Senegal and Iran. Gambia have conceded eleven in those five, so an open game could come from either end. A 2-2 or a 3-1 Ghana win would beat the pick.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.48
Draw3.70
Away5.25
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.23
Under 1.53.07
Over 2.51.88
Under 2.51.66
Over 3.53.49
Under 3.51.18
Both teams to score
Yes1.94
No1.61
First to score
Home1.38
No goal9.50
Away3.10
Handicap
Home -11.85
Away +11.68

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Match History

Head to Head

These two have never met in our records.

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Head to Head

Gambia vs Ghana: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
25 September 2026Gambia2 - 1Somalia
29 May 2026Iran3 - 1Gambia
31 March 2026Senegal3 - 1Gambia
14 October 2025Seychelles0 - 7Gambia
10 October 2025Gambia3 - 4Gabon

Head to Head

Ghana vs Gambia: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
24 September 2026Ivory Coast2 - 0Ghana
4 July 2026Colombia1 - 0Ghana
27 June 2026Croatia2 - 1Ghana
23 June 2026England0 - 0Ghana