Necaxa vs Club America Prediction - 28 September 2026
Match highlights
VIPForm
- L 1-3
- L 0-1
- D 1-1
- L 1-3
- D 1-1
- D 2-2
- L 3-4
- L 0-1
- D 2-2
- W 2-0
Head to head
- 31 Jan 2026 Club America 2 Necaxa 0 Liga MX
- 27 Jul 2025 Necaxa 1 Club America 1 Liga MX
Team averages before kickoff
For
- 14.4Total shots20.4
- 4.9Shots on target7.6
- 5.4Corner kicks5.9
- 2.6Cards1.4
Against
- 16.3Total shots13.4
- 5.2Shots on target5.4
- 4.8Corner kicks6.0
- 1.9Cards2.8
Match analysis
Necaxa have scored four goals in their last five and Club America nine, a combined rate of 2.6 a game that leaves room under the 3.5 line. Superior's model makes Under 3.5 goals a 66 percent chance in Necaxa vs Club America on 27 September, and 1.48 is the price.
Necaxa have not scored more than once in five games
Superior builds each team's expected goals from measured scoring and conceding, then checks short samples against the league baseline so one wild result cannot dominate. Necaxa's attack anchors the total: they were beaten 1-0 at home by Puebla and drew 1-1 at Tigres and at Pumas. Superior's correct score is 1-2, three goals, which still lands the Under, and Club America were also held to nothing in a 1-0 defeat at Leon.
Club America's last five include a 4-3 and two 2-2 draws
Club America's games have been the loose ones: they lost 4-3 at Cruz Azul on 13 September and drew 2-2 with both Monterrey and Chivas, and Necaxa conceded three at home to Cruz Azul and three at Atletico San Luis. Four goals beats the Under, so a repeat of either 2-2 or a 3-1 America win is how this is lost.
Formations
Confirmed formations
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.51More Liga MX predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 53%Ball possession47%
- 2.69Expected goals (xG)3.40
- 7Big chances5
- 15Total shots20
- 4Goalkeeper saves2
- 3Corner kicks5
- 16Fouls6
- 464Passes398
- 3Yellow cards2
Shots
- 6Shots on target9
- 4Shots off target5
- 5Blocked shots6
- 10Shots inside box12
- 5Shots outside box8
Attack
- 56Attacks70
- 1.18Expected assists (xA)1.61
- 10Key passes13
- 7/14 (50%)Dribbles6/17 (35%)
- 1Offsides2
Passes
- 367/464 (79%)Accurate passes308/398 (77%)
- 33/76 (43%)Long balls20/51 (39%)
- 3/8 (38%)Crosses3/13 (23%)
- 67Final third entries87
Defending
- 7/19 (37%)Tackles won12/18 (67%)
- 15Interceptions18
- 20Clearances12
- 20/40 (50%)Aerial duels20/40 (50%)
Other
- 4Free kicks12
- 27Throw-ins18
- 9Goal kicks7
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-210.1%Our score
- 1-110.9%Alternative
- 0-19.6%
- 0-28.3%
- 2-16.2%
Top five combined: 45.1%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Club America win and over 2.5 goals34.1%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals16.7%
- Necaxa win and over 2.5 goals14.8%
- Necaxa win and both teams score12.9%
| Necaxa | Club America | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 48.0% | 75.7% |
| Draw no bet | 31.8% | 68.2% |
| Win to nil | 11.4% | 26.2% |
| Either team wins | 76.2% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 68.0% | 82.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 31.7% | 52.9% |
| Clean sheet | 17.1% | 32.0% |
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | +11 | 32 | ||
| 2 | 16 | +15 | 30 | ||
| 3 | 15 | +11 | 29 | ||
| 4 | 16 | +14 | 27 | ||
| 5 | 16 | -3 | 27 | ||
| 6 | 16 | +3 | 25 | ||
| 7 | 16 | +9 | 22 | ||
| 8 | 16 | +3 | 22 | ||
| 9 | 15 | +2 | 22 | ||
| 10 | 15 | +1 | 21 | ||
| 11 | 16 | -2 | 21 | ||
| 12 | 14 | -3 | 20 | ||
| 13 | 16 | -5 | 19 | ||
| 14 | 15 | -6 | 16 | ||
| 15 | 16 | -8 | 15 | ||
| 16 | 16 | -10 | 14 | ||
| 17 | 16 | -11 | 13 | ||
| 18 | 16 | -21 | 11 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 26 | 11 | 32 | LWW |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 30 | WDW |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 29 | DWL |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 27 | WLW |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 27 | LWW |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 | LLL |
| 7 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 | LLW |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 22 | DWW |
| 9 | Leon | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 22 | WLL |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 21 | WLW |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 | WWL |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 20 | WWL |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 19 | DDL |
| 14 | Puebla | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 | DLW |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 15 | LDL |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 | WDL |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 | LWW |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 11 | LLL |