Leon vs FC Juarez Prediction - 28 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
Odds 1.50Won
- Correct score
- 2-1
- Alternative
- 1-1
- Under 3.5 goals
- 4/5Leon · last 5 games
Match highlights
VIPForm
- D 1-1
- W 2-0
- L 1-3
- W 1-0
- L 0-2
- W 2-0
- L 1-2
- L 0-2
- L 0-4
- L 1-2
Head to head
- 19 Apr 2026 Leon 3 FC Juarez 1 Liga MX
- 27 Sept 2025 FC Juarez 2 Leon 0 Liga MX
Team averages before kickoff
For
- 15.2Total shots9.5
- 6.2Shots on target2.9
- 4.0Corner kicks2.8
- 2.1Cards2.9
Against
- 17.7Total shots20.5
- 5.2Shots on target7.6
- 6.3Corner kicks7.1
- 2.5Cards1.9
Match analysis
Leon beat Club America 1-0 and Atletico San Luis 2-0 at home this month, and Superior's correct score for Leon vs FC Juarez on 27 September is another home win, 2-1. The pick is Under 3.5 goals, which the model puts at 64 percent, at odds of 1.50.
Leon have scored five in five, FC Juarez four
Leon average 1.0 goals a game and FC Juarez 0.8, and Superior's expected goals, which start from that measured scoring and conceding, turn those rates into a score grid where most of the weight sits on three goals or fewer. Neither side has scored more than twice in any of its last five, and the model's own 2-1 leaves a goal of room under the line.
Leon beat FC Juarez 3-1 in April
The last meeting at Leon, in April, ended 3-1, exactly the four goals that beats the Under, and FC Juarez conceded four at Toluca on 31 August. Leon also lost 3-1 at Pumas on 11 September. A 3-1 or 2-2 is enough to beat this line, and the model's own 2-1 sits one goal short of it.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.51More Liga MX predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 56%Ball possession44%
- 0.74Expected goals (xG)1.31
- 1Big chances3
- 7Total shots9
- 0Goalkeeper saves2
- 1Corner kicks4
- 14Fouls14
- 389Passes304
- 2Yellow cards2
Shots
- 3Shots on target1
- 2Shots off target5
- 2Blocked shots3
- 6Shots inside box4
- 1Shots outside box5
Attack
- 70Attacks69
- 0.71Expected assists (xA)0.32
- 5Key passes5
- 5/13 (38%)Dribbles6/13 (46%)
- 6Offsides1
Passes
- 316/389 (81%)Accurate passes229/304 (75%)
- 24/50 (48%)Long balls39/78 (50%)
- 6/19 (32%)Crosses5/20 (25%)
- 67Final third entries37
Defending
- 8/12 (67%)Tackles won14/22 (64%)
- 1Interceptions8
- 17Clearances14
- 17/26 (65%)Aerial duels9/26 (35%)
Other
- 13Free kicks13
- 28Throw-ins26
- 10Goal kicks10
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Correct score: 1-1
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 2-110.1%Our score
- 1-110.5%Alternative
- 1-09.4%
- 2-08.9%
- 3-16.4%
Top five combined: 45.3%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Leon win and over 2.5 goals39.7%
- Leon win and both teams score28.9%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals15.6%
- FC Juarez win and over 2.5 goals12.1%
| Leon | FC Juarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 80.3% | 42.0% |
| Draw no bet | 74.7% | 25.3% |
| Win to nil | 29.1% | 8.9% |
| Either team wins | 77.7% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 86.1% | 65.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58.3% | 28.9% |
| Clean sheet | 34.2% | 13.9% |
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | +11 | 32 | ||
| 2 | 16 | +15 | 30 | ||
| 3 | 15 | +11 | 29 | ||
| 4 | 16 | +14 | 27 | ||
| 5 | 16 | -3 | 27 | ||
| 6 | 16 | +3 | 25 | ||
| 7 | 16 | +9 | 22 | ||
| 8 | 16 | +3 | 22 | ||
| 9 | 15 | +2 | 22 | ||
| 10 | 15 | +1 | 21 | ||
| 11 | 16 | -2 | 21 | ||
| 12 | 14 | -3 | 20 | ||
| 13 | 16 | -5 | 19 | ||
| 14 | 15 | -6 | 16 | ||
| 15 | 16 | -8 | 15 | ||
| 16 | 16 | -10 | 14 | ||
| 17 | 16 | -11 | 13 | ||
| 18 | 16 | -21 | 11 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 26 | 11 | 32 | LWW |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 30 | WDW |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 29 | DWL |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 21 | 14 | 27 | WLW |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 27 | LWW |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 | LLL |
| 7 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 | LLW |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 22 | DWW |
| 9 | Leon | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 22 | WLL |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 21 | WLW |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 | WWL |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 20 | WWL |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 19 | DDL |
| 14 | Puebla | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 | DLW |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 15 | LDL |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 | WDL |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 | LWW |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 11 | LLL |