Leganes vs Castellón Prediction

Correct scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.28

Bookmaker odds

Home2.98

Draw3.32

Away2.40

Odds moved since Sep 25

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What is the prediction for Leganes vs Castellón?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Castellón are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 25, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-18Methodology

Match analysis

Castellón arrive unbeaten in five, and their 5-0 win over Tenerife on 19 September is the loudest number in Leganes vs Castellón on 28 September. Superior's pick is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, rated a 78 percent chance by the model, because a visiting attack scoring 2.2 a game needs little help from Leganes to reach two.

Castellón have scored 11 goals in their last five

Superior builds an expected scoring rate for each side from what it scores and concedes, then prices every scoreline on a Poisson grid. Castellón carry the heavier side of that grid: wins at Girona (2-1) and over Albacete (2-0) sit alongside the Tenerife result, and they scored in four of the five. Leganes offer a second route, having beaten Granada 3-2 at home on 20 September, a week after they lost 2-0 at the same Tenerife side Castellón put five past.

Three of Leganes' last five had fewer than two goals

Leganes drew 0-0 at Las Palmas and won 1-0 against Eldense and at Oviedo, and they failed to score in two of their last five. The last time Castellón visited, in September 2025, they won 1-0. A repeat of that 1-0, or a 0-0, loses the bet, and a Leganes side that keeps the game as tight as it did in August is the real threat here.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-opus-5-5

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.79

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Team news

Expected formations

Leganes: 3-2-4-1(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Leganes vs Castellón

Head to Head

Leganes vs Castellón: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
January 16, 2026	Castellón	2 - 0	Leganes
September 29, 2025	Leganes	0 - 1	Castellón

League Table

Segunda DivisionSpain · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Castellón	6	5	1	0	12	2	+10	16
2	Eibar	6	5	0	1	12	4	+8	15
3	Girona	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Mallorca	6	4	1	1	8	2	+6	13
5	Almeria	6	4	0	2	10	4	+6	12
6	Burgos	6	3	2	1	10	7	+3	11
7	Sabadell	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
8	Leganes	6	3	2	1	6	5	+1	11
9	Sporting Gijon	6	3	1	2	5	4	+1	10
10	Las Palmas	6	3	1	2	8	8	0	10
11	Tenerife	6	3	1	2	7	8	-1	10
12	Real Sociedad II	6	2	2	2	8	7	+1	8
13	Oviedo	6	2	2	2	5	4	+1	8
14	Granada CF	6	2	2	2	8	8	0	8
15	Celta de Vigo II	6	2	1	3	7	10	-3	7
16	Cordoba	6	2	0	4	9	13	-4	6
17	Eldense	6	1	2	3	4	8	-4	5
18	Valladolid	6	1	2	3	3	8	-5	5
19	Cadiz	6	0	3	3	6	9	-3	3
20	Andorra	6	1	0	5	9	13	-4	3
21	Albacete	7	0	1	6	4	12	-8	1
22	AD Ceuta FC	6	0	1	5	3	16	-13	1

Relegation

Segunda Division - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Castellón	6	5	1	0	12	2	10	16
2	Eibar	6	5	0	1	12	4	8	15
3	Girona	7	4	1	2	14	8	6	13
4	Mallorca	6	4	1	1	8	2	6	13
5	Almeria	6	4	0	2	10	4	6	12
6	Burgos	6	3	2	1	10	7	3	11
7	Sabadell	6	3	2	1	7	5	2	11
8	Leganes	6	3	2	1	6	5	1	11
9	Sporting Gijon	6	3	1	2	5	4	1	10
10	Las Palmas	6	3	1	2	8	8	0	10
11	Tenerife	6	3	1	2	7	8	-1	10
12	Real Sociedad II	6	2	2	2	8	7	1	8
13	Oviedo	6	2	2	2	5	4	1	8
14	Granada CF	6	2	2	2	8	8	0	8
15	Celta de Vigo II	6	2	1	3	7	10	-3	7
16	Cordoba	6	2	0	4	9	13	-4	6
17	Eldense	6	1	2	3	4	8	-4	5
18	Valladolid	6	1	2	3	3	8	-5	5
19	Cadiz	6	0	3	3	6	9	-3	3
20	Andorra	6	1	0	5	9	13	-4	3
21	Albacete	7	0	1	6	4	12	-8	1
22	AD Ceuta FC	6	0	1	5	3	16	-13	1