Head to Head Stats & Predictions
Next meeting
Leganes vs Castellón
- Correct score
- 1 - 1
- Alternative score
- 1 - 2
- Featured pick
- Goals: Over 1.5 @ 1.28
Match analysis
Castellón arrive unbeaten in five, and their 5-0 win over Tenerife on 19 September is the loudest number in Leganes vs Castellón on 28 September. Superior's pick is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, rated a 78 percent chance by the model, because a visiting attack scoring 2.2 a game needs little help from Leganes to reach two.
Castellón have scored 11 goals in their last five
Superior builds an expected scoring rate for each side from what it scores and concedes, then prices every scoreline on a Poisson grid. Castellón carry the heavier side of that grid: wins at Girona (2-1) and over Albacete (2-0) sit alongside the Tenerife result, and they scored in four of the five. Leganes offer a second route, having beaten Granada 3-2 at home on 20 September, a week after they lost 2-0 at the same Tenerife side Castellón put five past.
Three of Leganes' last five had fewer than two goals
Leganes drew 0-0 at Las Palmas and won 1-0 against Eldense and at Oviedo, and they failed to score in two of their last five. The last time Castellón visited, in September 2025, they won 1-0. A repeat of that 1-0, or a 0-0, loses the bet, and a Leganes side that keeps the game as tight as it did in August is the real threat here.
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Match History
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 16, 2026 | Castellón | 2 - 0 | Leganes |
| September 29, 2025 | Leganes | 0 - 1 | Castellón |
Recent Form
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 19, 2026 | Castellón | 5 - 0 | Tenerife |
| September 12, 2026 | Girona | 1 - 2 | Castellón |
| September 6, 2026 | Castellón | 2 - 0 | Albacete |
| August 31, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II | 1 - 2 | Castellón |
| August 23, 2026 | Castellón | 0 - 0 | Sabadell |
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 20, 2026 | Leganes | 3 - 2 | Granada CF |
| September 13, 2026 | Tenerife | 2 - 0 | Leganes |
| September 4, 2026 | Las Palmas | 0 - 0 | Leganes |
| August 29, 2026 | Leganes | 1 - 0 | Eldense |
