Almeria vs Leganes Prediction

Our pick:Home +0.5

82%Odds 1.19Won

Correct score1-0Alternative3-1

Form

Almeria

W 2-1
W 1-0
W 2-0
W 2-0
W 3-2

Leganes

L 0-4
L 0-2
W 3-2
L 0-2
D 0-0

Head to head

5 Apr 2026 Almeria 2 Leganes 1 Segunda Division
22 Nov 2025 Leganes 0 Almeria 3 Segunda Division
15 Jan 2025 Almeria 2 Leganes 3 Copa del Rey

Bookmaker odds

Home1.65

Draw4.18

Away4.84

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.15

Under 1.54.25

Over 2.51.63

Under 2.52.29

Over 3.52.41

Under 3.51.45

Both teams to score

Yes1.62

No2.16

Odd/Even

Odd1.84

Even1.84

Handicap

Home -0.751.72

Away +0.751.94

Methodology

Match analysis

Leganes lost 0-4 at Cadiz on 3 October, while Almeria have won their last five. Superior backs Almeria on the +0.5 Asian handicap at 1.19 for Almeria vs Leganes on 11 October, so a home win or a draw settles it, and the model rates the pick at 82% with a 1-0 correct score.

Almeria have won five straight and conceded three

Almeria score 2.0 goals a game against 0.6 for Leganes, and the model's expected scoring rates, built from what each side scores and concedes, give Almeria the clearly larger share of the score grid. The results fit that shape: 1-0 at Mallorca, 2-0 at Cordoba and 2-1 against Burgos. Almeria also took both meetings last season, 2-1 at home and 3-0 away.

Leganes scored three against Granada on 20 September

Only a Leganes win beats this pick. Their best recent result shows the route, a 3-2 home win over Granada, so they can score in bunches when a game opens up. Almeria conceded twice in their 3-2 win over Cadiz, and a match that turns into a shootout is the one place Leganes could catch them.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

Asian Handicap: Home +0.5Won1.19
Asian Handicap: Home +0.25Won1.22
Asian Handicap: Home +0Won1.28
Match Winner: HomeWon1.70

Compare bookmakers

After full time

Top five correct scores

1-012.5%Our score
2-011.1%
1-110.9%
2-110.5%
3-06.9%

Top five combined: 51.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAlmeriaxG1.79

AwayLeganesxG0.90

6.7%

13%

11%

6.9%

3.0%

1.2%

0.5%

5.9%

11%

10%

5.6%

2.7%

0.9%

0.4%

2.5%

4.6%

4.1%

2.6%

1.1%

0.4%

0.1%

0.8%

1.3%

1.2%

0.7%

0.4%

0.1%

<0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.2%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 48.8%51.2% No

Over 1.5 74.9%25.1% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 50.4%49.6% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 27.6%72.4% Under 3.5

Combos

Almeria win and over 2.5 goals36.3%
Almeria win and both teams score24.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.6%
Leganes win and over 2.5 goals9.2%

Outcome markets
	Almeria	Leganes
Win or draw	82.5%	40.0%
Draw no bet	77.4%	22.6%
Win to nil	35.1%	9.4%
Either team wins	77.5%
Team goals
To score	83.9%	58.2%
Over 1.5 goals	54.1%	21.4%
Clean sheet	41.8%	16.1%

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.65

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Almeria vs Leganes

League table

Segunda DivisionSpain · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	9	7	0	2	16	5	+11	21
2	Eibar	9	7	0	2	19	10	+9	21
3	Castellón	9	6	2	1	15	4	+11	20
4	Mallorca	9	5	2	2	11	4	+7	17
5	Sabadell	9	4	4	1	10	7	+3	16
6	Sporting Gijon	9	5	1	3	9	8	+1	16
7	Girona	9	4	3	2	15	9	+6	15
8	Burgos	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
9	Oviedo	9	4	2	3	11	9	+2	14
10	Granada CF	9	4	2	3	14	13	+1	14
11	Valladolid	9	3	3	3	13	11	+2	12
12	Tenerife	9	3	3	3	11	13	-2	12
13	Cordoba	10	4	0	6	15	20	-5	12
14	Celta de Vigo II	9	3	2	4	14	15	-1	11
15	Eldense	9	3	2	4	10	11	-1	11
16	Las Palmas	9	3	2	4	13	16	-3	11
17	Leganes	10	3	2	5	6	15	-9	11
18	FC Andorra	9	3	1	5	13	15	-2	10
19	Real Sociedad II	9	2	2	5	12	17	-5	8
20	Cadiz	9	1	4	4	11	11	0	7
21	AD Ceuta FC	9	1	2	6	8	20	-12	5
22	Albacete	9	0	1	8	5	20	-15	1

Relegation

Segunda Division - League table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Almeria	9	7	0	2	16	5	11	21
2	Eibar	9	7	0	2	19	10	9	21
3	Castellón	9	6	2	1	15	4	11	20
4	Mallorca	9	5	2	2	11	4	7	17
5	Sabadell	9	4	4	1	10	7	3	16
6	Sporting Gijon	9	5	1	3	9	8	1	16
7	Girona	9	4	3	2	15	9	6	15
8	Burgos	9	4	2	3	12	10	2	14
9	Oviedo	9	4	2	3	11	9	2	14
10	Granada CF	9	4	2	3	14	13	1	14
11	Valladolid	9	3	3	3	13	11	2	12
12	Tenerife	9	3	3	3	11	13	-2	12
13	Cordoba	10	4	0	6	15	20	-5	12
14	Celta de Vigo II	9	3	2	4	14	15	-1	11
15	Eldense	9	3	2	4	10	11	-1	11
16	Las Palmas	9	3	2	4	13	16	-3	11
17	Leganes	10	3	2	5	6	15	-9	11
18	FC Andorra	9	3	1	5	13	15	-2	10
19	Real Sociedad II	9	2	2	5	12	17	-5	8
20	Cadiz	9	1	4	4	11	11	0	7
21	AD Ceuta FC	9	1	2	6	8	20	-12	5
22	Albacete	9	0	1	8	5	20	-15	1

Almeria vs Leganes Prediction - 11 October 2026

Form

Head to head

Bookmaker odds

Match analysis

Almeria have won five straight and conceded three

Leganes scored three against Granada on 20 September

More tips for this game

Premium

Top five correct scores

Goals and BTTS chances

Combos

More Segunda Division predictions

League table