Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City Prediction - 26 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
Odds 1.43Won
- Correct score
- 1-0
- Alternative
- 1-1
- Under 3.5 goals
- 5/5Bristol Rovers · last 5 games
Match highlights
VIPForm
- L 0-3
- L 0-2
- W 1-0
- W 2-0
- W 2-0
- D 2-2
- D 0-0
- L 0-1
- W 2-0
- D 0-0
Team averages before kickoff
For
- 16.5Total shots11.2
- 4.6Shots on target2.9
- 5.6Corner kicks4.9
- 2.1Cards2.0
Against
- 9.9Total shots12.6
- 3.0Shots on target3.6
- 3.9Corner kicks4.8
- 2.0Cards2.0
Match analysis
Exeter City have scored three goals in five games and Bristol Rovers five, which is why Superior's pick for their meeting on 26 September is Under 3.5 goals. The price is 1.43 and the model rates the pick at 74 percent, on two scoring averages that add up to 1.6 goals a game.
No Exeter game in their last five reached three goals
Exeter drew 0-0 with Tranmere and Walsall, lost 1-0 at Port Vale and drew 1-1 with Barnet, and their only multi-goal game was a 2-0 win over Tottenham's under-21s. The model projects each side's goals from its measured scoring and conceding before pricing the scorelines, and Exeter's attack gives it very little to work with. Rovers' own games finished 3-0, 2-0, 1-0, 2-0 and 2-0, all inside this line.
Rovers conceded five in their last two away games
Gillingham scored three against Rovers on 19 September and Grimsby two a week earlier, so the Rovers defence is where four goals could come from. A 2-2, a 3-1 or a 1-3 would each lose it. The one meeting on record, in April 2025, ended 1-2 to Exeter at Rovers, three goals and one short of the line.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.50More League Two predictions
Match stats
Match overview
- 44%Ball possession56%
- 17Total shots8
- 5Goalkeeper saves4
- 6Corner kicks3
- 13Fouls12
- 252Passes328
- 1Yellow cards1
Shots
- 5Shots on target5
- 8Shots off target1
- 4Blocked shots2
- 13Shots inside box4
- 4Shots outside box4
Attack
- 84Attacks92
Passes
- 148/252 (59%)Accurate passes233/328 (71%)
Defending
- 11/19 (58%)Tackles won7/12 (58%)
- 31Clearances51
Other
- 10Free kicks12
- 21Throw-ins31
- 7Goal kicks9
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
VIP
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-013.2%Our score
- 1-112.9%Alternative
- 2-19.5%
- 0-09.2%
- 2-09.2%
Top five combined: 54.0%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Bristol Rovers win and over 2.5 goals24.9%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals22.2%
- Bristol Rovers win and both teams score18.6%
- Exeter City win and over 2.5 goals12.3%
| Bristol Rovers | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 74.6% | 52.7% |
| Draw no bet | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| Win to nil | 28.7% | 14.9% |
| Either team wins | 72.7% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 75.9% | 62.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 41.2% | 24.9% |
| Clean sheet | 37.9% | 24.1% |
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | +10 | 31 | |
| 2 | 13 | +10 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | +9 | 22 | |
| 4 | 14 | 0 | 22 | |
| 5 | 14 | -2 | 21 | |
| 6 | 14 | +6 | 20 | |
| 7 | 14 | +3 | 20 | |
| 8 | 14 | +1 | 20 | |
| 9 | 14 | +6 | 19 | |
| 10 | 14 | +3 | 19 | |
| 11 | 14 | +2 | 19 | |
| 12 | 14 | +2 | 19 | |
| 13 | 14 | -2 | 19 | |
| 14 | 14 | +3 | 18 | |
| 15 | 14 | -5 | 18 | |
| 16 | 14 | 0 | 17 | |
| 17 | 14 | -6 | 16 | |
| 18 | 12 | -4 | 15 | |
| 19 | 14 | -9 | 15 | |
| 20 | 12 | 0 | 14 | |
| 21 | 13 | -5 | 12 | |
| 22 | 14 | -7 | 12 | |
| 23 | 13 | -7 | 12 | |
| 24 | 12 | -8 | 9 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 31 | |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 26 | |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 22 | |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 | |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 21 | |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 20 | |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 20 | |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 20 | |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 19 | |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 19 | |
| 11 | Tranmere Rovers | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 19 | |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 19 | |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 19 | |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 18 | |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 18 | |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 | |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 | |
| 18 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 15 | |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 | |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 | |
| 21 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 12 | |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 | |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 | |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |