Port Vale vs Northampton Prediction - 26 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
Odds 1.24
- Correct score
- 1-1
- Alternative
- 1-0
- Under 3.5 goals
- 5/5Northampton · last 5 games
Form
- D 1-1
- L 0-2
- W 1-0
- L 0-1
- L 1-3
- L 0-1
- L 0-2
- W 1-0
- D 1-1
- D 1-1
Head to head
- 24 Feb 2026 Northampton 0 Port Vale 1 League One
- 4 Oct 2025 Port Vale 0 Northampton 0 League One
Team averages before kickoff
- Total shots
- Shots on target
- Corner kicks
- Cards
Match analysis
Port Vale's one win in their last five was a 1-0 over Exeter, and Superior expects a similar low-scoring game against Northampton on 26 September. The pick is Under 3.5 goals at 1.24, which our model rates at 75 percent, because only one of the two sides' last ten matches had more than three goals.
Port Vale have scored twice in five games
The model sets an expected scoring rate for each team from its measured scoring and conceding, and both rates here are low. Vale lost 2-0 at Walsall and 1-0 at Salford, drew 0-0 with Crewe and beat Exeter 1-0. Northampton have three goals in five, from a 1-0 win over Newport and 1-1 draws with Crawley and Gillingham. Vale also won 1-0 at Northampton in February, and the meeting before that ended 0-0.
Swindon beat Vale 3-1 on 1 September
This pick needs four goals to lose, and the one game in the two sides' last ten that would have beaten it was Port Vale's 3-1 defeat at Swindon. Vale have conceded six in their last five, so the risk is Northampton scoring the way Swindon and Walsall did. A 2-2, a 3-1 or a 1-3 would all go over the line.
Today's acca
2 matches, total odds 1.50From our blog
More League Two predictions
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Goals: Under 2.5
- Correct score: 1-1
- Correct score: 1-0
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | +10 | 31 | |
| 2 | 13 | +10 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | +9 | 22 | |
| 4 | 14 | 0 | 22 | |
| 5 | 14 | -2 | 21 | |
| 6 | 14 | +6 | 20 | |
| 7 | 14 | +3 | 20 | |
| 8 | 14 | +1 | 20 | |
| 9 | 14 | +6 | 19 | |
| 10 | 14 | +3 | 19 | |
| 11 | 14 | +2 | 19 | |
| 12 | 14 | +2 | 19 | |
| 13 | 14 | -2 | 19 | |
| 14 | 14 | +3 | 18 | |
| 15 | 14 | -5 | 18 | |
| 16 | 14 | 0 | 17 | |
| 17 | 14 | -6 | 16 | |
| 18 | 12 | -4 | 15 | |
| 19 | 14 | -9 | 15 | |
| 20 | 12 | 0 | 14 | |
| 21 | 13 | -5 | 12 | |
| 22 | 14 | -7 | 12 | |
| 23 | 13 | -7 | 12 | |
| 24 | 12 | -8 | 9 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 31 | |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 26 | |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 22 | |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 22 | |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 21 | |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 20 | |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 20 | |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 20 | |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 19 | |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 19 | |
| 11 | Tranmere Rovers | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 19 | |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 19 | |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 19 | |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 18 | |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 18 | |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 | |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 | |
| 18 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 15 | |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 | |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 | |
| 21 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 12 | |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 | |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 | |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |